The closely matched Polymarket bins for Massachusetts Senate turnout reflect uncertainty in a low-competition general election where Democratic incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton in recent polling. A lopsided Democratic primary featuring Markey and Seth Moulton has produced limited enthusiasm, with Secretary of State William Galvin noting it will not drive unusually high participation. Factors such as early voting volumes, mail ballot return rates, and typical midterm drop-off in a safely Democratic state continue to shape trader assessments, with no major late developments yet separating the leading ranges around 2.2M–2.8M votes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2,8M-2,95M 37%
2,65M-2,8M 32%
2,5M-2,65M 18%
2,95M-3,1M 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<2,2M
4%
2,2M-2,35M
29%
2,35M–2,5M
8%
2,5M-2,65M
11%
2,65M-2,8M
32%
2,8M-2,95M
37%
2,95M-3,1M
16%
3,1M+
15%
2,8M-2,95M 37%
2,65M-2,8M 32%
2,5M-2,65M 18%
2,95M-3,1M 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
<2,2M
$71 Vol.
4%
2,2M-2,35M
$88 Vol.
29%
2,35M–2,5M
$71 Vol.
8%
2,5M-2,65M
$108 Vol.
11%
2,65M-2,8M
$745 Vol.
32%
2,8M-2,95M
$714 Vol.
37%
2,95M-3,1M
$80 Vol.
16%
3,1M+
$96 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched Polymarket bins for Massachusetts Senate turnout reflect uncertainty in a low-competition general election where Democratic incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton in recent polling. A lopsided Democratic primary featuring Markey and Seth Moulton has produced limited enthusiasm, with Secretary of State William Galvin noting it will not drive unusually high participation. Factors such as early voting volumes, mail ballot return rates, and typical midterm drop-off in a safely Democratic state continue to shape trader assessments, with no major late developments yet separating the leading ranges around 2.2M–2.8M votes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Volume
$1,974Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched Polymarket bins for Massachusetts Senate turnout reflect uncertainty in a low-competition general election where Democratic incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton in recent polling. A lopsided Democratic primary featuring Markey and Seth Moulton has produced limited enthusiasm, with Secretary of State William Galvin noting it will not drive unusually high participation. Factors such as early voting volumes, mail ballot return rates, and typical midterm drop-off in a safely Democratic state continue to shape trader assessments, with no major late developments yet separating the leading ranges around 2.2M–2.8M votes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,974Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched Polymarket bins for Massachusetts Senate turnout reflect uncertainty in a low-competition general election where Democratic incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton in recent polling. A lopsided Democratic primary featuring Markey and Seth Moulton has produced limited enthusiasm, with Secretary of State William Galvin noting it will not drive unusually high participation. Factors such as early voting volumes, mail ballot return rates, and typical midterm drop-off in a safely Democratic state continue to shape trader assessments, with no major late developments yet separating the leading ranges around 2.2M–2.8M votes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il totale dei voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Senatore del New Hampshire sarà compreso tra 650.000 e 700.000?
33%
Sì
Il totale dei voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Senato dal Maine sarà compreso tra 700.000 e 750.000?
42%
Sì
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?
38%
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