Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean. The district, which spans much of western and northern Michigan, carries a strong partisan advantage that has produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Moolenaar’s 2024 victory. He advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, underscoring limited path-to-victory factors for the challenger. A national political wave of unusual scale, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-02
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MI-02
$53,874 Vol.
$53,874 Vol.
2 nov 2026
John Moolenaar (R)
98%
Ben Ambrose (D)
1%
$53,874 Vol.
$53,874 Vol.
2 nov 2026
John Moolenaar (R)
$22,752 Vol.
98%
Ben Ambrose (D)
$31,122 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean. The district, which spans much of western and northern Michigan, carries a strong partisan advantage that has produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Moolenaar’s 2024 victory. He advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, underscoring limited path-to-victory factors for the challenger. A national political wave of unusual scale, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$53,874Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean. The district, which spans much of western and northern Michigan, carries a strong partisan advantage that has produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Moolenaar’s 2024 victory. He advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, underscoring limited path-to-victory factors for the challenger. A national political wave of unusual scale, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,874Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean. The district, which spans much of western and northern Michigan, carries a strong partisan advantage that has produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Moolenaar’s 2024 victory. He advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, underscoring limited path-to-victory factors for the challenger. A national political wave of unusual scale, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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