Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination with nearly 74% in the August primary for Missouri's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced narrowly from a competitive Democratic primary. The district carries a Republican lean based on recent presidential results, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. A May Democratic poll showed Wagner leading Wellman by only three points on a head-to-head ballot, yet trader pricing at 66% for Republicans aligns with the seat's partisan voting index, Wagner's consistent prior general-election margins above 10 points, and the absence of major late-cycle shifts. The Missouri Supreme Court's September ruling restoring the prior congressional map for November leaves the district's boundaries largely unchanged from 2024.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMO-02 House Election Winner
MO-02 House Election Winner
$10,023 Vol.
$10,023 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
30%
$10,023 Vol.
$10,023 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$5,368 Vol.
71%
Democratic Party
$4,655 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination with nearly 74% in the August primary for Missouri's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced narrowly from a competitive Democratic primary. The district carries a Republican lean based on recent presidential results, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. A May Democratic poll showed Wagner leading Wellman by only three points on a head-to-head ballot, yet trader pricing at 66% for Republicans aligns with the seat's partisan voting index, Wagner's consistent prior general-election margins above 10 points, and the absence of major late-cycle shifts. The Missouri Supreme Court's September ruling restoring the prior congressional map for November leaves the district's boundaries largely unchanged from 2024.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$10,023Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination with nearly 74% in the August primary for Missouri's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced narrowly from a competitive Democratic primary. The district carries a Republican lean based on recent presidential results, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. A May Democratic poll showed Wagner leading Wellman by only three points on a head-to-head ballot, yet trader pricing at 66% for Republicans aligns with the seat's partisan voting index, Wagner's consistent prior general-election margins above 10 points, and the absence of major late-cycle shifts. The Missouri Supreme Court's September ruling restoring the prior congressional map for November leaves the district's boundaries largely unchanged from 2024.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,023Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination with nearly 74% in the August primary for Missouri's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced narrowly from a competitive Democratic primary. The district carries a Republican lean based on recent presidential results, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. A May Democratic poll showed Wagner leading Wellman by only three points on a head-to-head ballot, yet trader pricing at 66% for Republicans aligns with the seat's partisan voting index, Wagner's consistent prior general-election margins above 10 points, and the absence of major late-cycle shifts. The Missouri Supreme Court's September ruling restoring the prior congressional map for November leaves the district's boundaries largely unchanged from 2024.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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