Incumbent Deborah Ross maintains a commanding lead in the NC-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic. Ross has secured prior victories above 60 percent, including 66 percent in 2024, while both major-party primaries were canceled in March 2026 after she faced no opposition and Republican nominee Eugene Douglass advanced unopposed. The Raleigh-anchored seat has shown no measurable movement toward the challenger despite mid-decade redistricting that favored Republicans statewide. Trader consensus prices the outcome as a foregone conclusion absent major disruptions. Scenarios that could alter the trajectory include unforeseen national political shifts, candidate health developments, or late scandals capable of eroding the incumbent’s structural advantages before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NC-02
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NC-02
$16,067 Vol.
$16,067 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Deborah Ross (D)
95%
Eugene Douglass (R)
4%
$16,067 Vol.
$16,067 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Deborah Ross (D)
$6,266 Vol.
95%
Eugene Douglass (R)
$9,801 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Deborah Ross maintains a commanding lead in the NC-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic. Ross has secured prior victories above 60 percent, including 66 percent in 2024, while both major-party primaries were canceled in March 2026 after she faced no opposition and Republican nominee Eugene Douglass advanced unopposed. The Raleigh-anchored seat has shown no measurable movement toward the challenger despite mid-decade redistricting that favored Republicans statewide. Trader consensus prices the outcome as a foregone conclusion absent major disruptions. Scenarios that could alter the trajectory include unforeseen national political shifts, candidate health developments, or late scandals capable of eroding the incumbent’s structural advantages before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$16,067Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Deborah Ross maintains a commanding lead in the NC-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic. Ross has secured prior victories above 60 percent, including 66 percent in 2024, while both major-party primaries were canceled in March 2026 after she faced no opposition and Republican nominee Eugene Douglass advanced unopposed. The Raleigh-anchored seat has shown no measurable movement toward the challenger despite mid-decade redistricting that favored Republicans statewide. Trader consensus prices the outcome as a foregone conclusion absent major disruptions. Scenarios that could alter the trajectory include unforeseen national political shifts, candidate health developments, or late scandals capable of eroding the incumbent’s structural advantages before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,067Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Deborah Ross maintains a commanding lead in the NC-02 House race due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and forecaster ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic. Ross has secured prior victories above 60 percent, including 66 percent in 2024, while both major-party primaries were canceled in March 2026 after she faced no opposition and Republican nominee Eugene Douglass advanced unopposed. The Raleigh-anchored seat has shown no measurable movement toward the challenger despite mid-decade redistricting that favored Republicans statewide. Trader consensus prices the outcome as a foregone conclusion absent major disruptions. Scenarios that could alter the trajectory include unforeseen national political shifts, candidate health developments, or late scandals capable of eroding the incumbent’s structural advantages before November 3.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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