Troy Balderson holds a commanding position in the Ohio 12th congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and prior presidential margins exceeding 30 points under current lines. As the five-term incumbent, he advanced unopposed in the May 2026 primary while Democrat Jerrad Christian, a repeat challenger, secured his party's nomination with limited resources. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, and Balderson maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.7 million raised versus under $85,000 for Christian. Trader consensus at 95% for Balderson aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could stem from major national political developments, candidate health issues, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOH-12 House Election Winner
OH-12 House Election Winner
$37,424 Vol.
$37,424 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Troy Balderson (R)
95%
Jerrad Christian (D)
5%
$37,424 Vol.
$37,424 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Troy Balderson (R)
$24,472 Vol.
95%
Jerrad Christian (D)
$12,953 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Balderson holds a commanding position in the Ohio 12th congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and prior presidential margins exceeding 30 points under current lines. As the five-term incumbent, he advanced unopposed in the May 2026 primary while Democrat Jerrad Christian, a repeat challenger, secured his party's nomination with limited resources. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, and Balderson maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.7 million raised versus under $85,000 for Christian. Trader consensus at 95% for Balderson aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could stem from major national political developments, candidate health issues, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$37,424Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Balderson holds a commanding position in the Ohio 12th congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and prior presidential margins exceeding 30 points under current lines. As the five-term incumbent, he advanced unopposed in the May 2026 primary while Democrat Jerrad Christian, a repeat challenger, secured his party's nomination with limited resources. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, and Balderson maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.7 million raised versus under $85,000 for Christian. Trader consensus at 95% for Balderson aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could stem from major national political developments, candidate health issues, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,424Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Troy Balderson holds a commanding position in the Ohio 12th congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Republican lean, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+15 and prior presidential margins exceeding 30 points under current lines. As the five-term incumbent, he advanced unopposed in the May 2026 primary while Democrat Jerrad Christian, a repeat challenger, secured his party's nomination with limited resources. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, and Balderson maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.7 million raised versus under $85,000 for Christian. Trader consensus at 95% for Balderson aligns with these fundamentals. Potential shifts could stem from major national political developments, candidate health issues, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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