Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a structural edge in Ohio’s 15th district, which carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and suburban Columbus territory that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns the party a 76 percent implied probability. Carey’s substantial fundraising lead and primary consolidation reinforce this positioning, while Democrat Don Leonard’s narrower resources and the presence of a Libertarian candidate on the ballot further fragment the opposition. A late August poll showed Carey ahead by four points, and no major developments since the May primaries have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
$12,632 Vol.
$12,632 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
22%
$12,632 Vol.
$12,632 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$4,927 Vol.
76%
Democratic Party
$7,705 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a structural edge in Ohio’s 15th district, which carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and suburban Columbus territory that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns the party a 76 percent implied probability. Carey’s substantial fundraising lead and primary consolidation reinforce this positioning, while Democrat Don Leonard’s narrower resources and the presence of a Libertarian candidate on the ballot further fragment the opposition. A late August poll showed Carey ahead by four points, and no major developments since the May primaries have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$12,632Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a structural edge in Ohio’s 15th district, which carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and suburban Columbus territory that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns the party a 76 percent implied probability. Carey’s substantial fundraising lead and primary consolidation reinforce this positioning, while Democrat Don Leonard’s narrower resources and the presence of a Libertarian candidate on the ballot further fragment the opposition. A late August poll showed Carey ahead by four points, and no major developments since the May primaries have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,632Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a structural edge in Ohio’s 15th district, which carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and suburban Columbus territory that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns the party a 76 percent implied probability. Carey’s substantial fundraising lead and primary consolidation reinforce this positioning, while Democrat Don Leonard’s narrower resources and the presence of a Libertarian candidate on the ballot further fragment the opposition. A late August poll showed Carey ahead by four points, and no major developments since the May primaries have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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