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icon for Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto
Politica·Brasile

Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto

icon for Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto
Politica·Brasile

Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto

Marília Arraes 73%

Humberto Costa 11.5%

Mendonça Filho 5.7%

Eduardo da Fonte 5.3%

Polymarket

$30,775 Vol.

Marília Arraes 73%

Humberto Costa 11.5%

Mendonça Filho 5.7%

Eduardo da Fonte 5.3%

Polymarket

$30,775 Vol.

icon for Marília Arraes

Marília Arraes

$15,332 Vol.

73%

icon for Humberto Costa

Humberto Costa

$8,538 Vol.

12%

icon for Mendonça Filho

Mendonça Filho

$1,327 Vol.

6%

icon for Eduardo da Fonte

Eduardo da Fonte

$879 Vol.

5%

icon for Paulo Rubem Santiago

Paulo Rubem Santiago

$624 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Sant'Anna

Carlos Sant'Anna

$634 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gorett Bitu

Gorett Bitu

$633 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mariano Macedo

Mariano Macedo

$528 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samuel Timoteo

Samuel Timoteo

$557 Vol.

<1%

icon for Túlio Gadêlha

Túlio Gadêlha

$625 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mailson da Silva Neto

Mailson da Silva Neto

$575 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pastor Gilvan Costa

Pastor Gilvan Costa

$523 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position for first place in Pernambuco’s Senate race, backed by consistent leads in recent polling. Datafolha’s early September survey gave her 18% combined intentions (up 3 points), ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 16%, Mendonça Filho (PL) at 12%, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 10%, with technical ties among the top contenders within margins of error. Quaest’s contemporaneous poll showed a similar ordering at 17-14-11%. Arraes benefits from her PDT affiliation within the Frente Popular coalition and prior visibility as a 2022 gubernatorial candidate. Lower-polling names such as Túlio Gadêlha, Carlos Sant’Anna, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register minimal support, aligning with their single-digit or sub-2% readings. The October 4 election remains weeks away, leaving room for shifts from undecided voters or campaign events.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$30,775
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds the strongest position for first place in Pernambuco’s Senate race, backed by consistent leads in recent polling. Datafolha’s early September survey gave her 18% combined intentions (up 3 points), ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 16%, Mendonça Filho (PL) at 12%, and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 10%, with technical ties among the top contenders within margins of error. Quaest’s contemporaneous poll showed a similar ordering at 17-14-11%. Arraes benefits from her PDT affiliation within the Frente Popular coalition and prior visibility as a 2022 gubernatorial candidate. Lower-polling names such as Túlio Gadêlha, Carlos Sant’Anna, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register minimal support, aligning with their single-digit or sub-2% readings. The October 4 election remains weeks away, leaving room for shifts from undecided voters or campaign events.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$30,775
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Humberto Costa otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Pernambuco del 2026?

Humberto Costa otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Pernambuco del 2026?

43%
Sì
icon for Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

Will Joao Azevêdo win the most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

84%
icon for Michelle Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

Michelle Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

84%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Marília Arraes" a 73%, seguito da "Humberto Costa" a 12%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 73¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 73% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto" ha generato $30.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto" è "Marília Arraes" a 73%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 73% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Humberto Costa" a 12%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Pernambuco Senato Elezioni: 1° Posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.