Marco Rubio holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination, reflecting his elevated national profile as Secretary of State and expanded diplomatic responsibilities. The field remains fragmented, with no other contender exceeding single-digit implied probabilities, as most options draw support from narrower ideological or regional bases. Key differentiators include Rubio’s executive-branch tenure and foreign-policy visibility compared with legislative figures like Thomas Massie or Rand Paul, media personalities such as Tucker Carlson, or governors with limited national exposure. Consolidation behind one outcome could hinge on post-midterm positioning by party leaders, Trump administration signals on the presidential ticket, or shifts in polling among Republican primary voters ahead of the 2028 convention.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRepublican VP Nominee 2028
Marco Rubio 32%
J.D. Vance 8%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 7.3%
Kristi Noem 6.3%
$38,538 Vol.
$38,538 Vol.
Marco Rubio
32%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
7%
Kristi Noem
6%
Donald Trump
6%
Thomas Massie
6%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Elise Stefanik
5%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Josh Hawley
5%
John Thune
5%
Rand Paul
5%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Brian Kemp
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Nikki Haley
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Joe Kent
3%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Vivek Ramaswamy
3%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Ted Cruz
2%
Byron Donalds
2%
Eric Trump
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2%
Katie Britt
2%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Tom Brady
1%
Marco Rubio 32%
J.D. Vance 8%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 7.3%
Kristi Noem 6.3%
$38,538 Vol.
$38,538 Vol.
Marco Rubio
32%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
7%
Kristi Noem
6%
Donald Trump
6%
Thomas Massie
6%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Elise Stefanik
5%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Josh Hawley
5%
John Thune
5%
Rand Paul
5%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Brian Kemp
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
4%
Nikki Haley
3%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Joe Kent
3%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Vivek Ramaswamy
3%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Ted Cruz
2%
Byron Donalds
2%
Eric Trump
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2%
Katie Britt
2%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Mike Pence
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Tom Brady
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Marco Rubio holds the leading position in trader consensus for the 2028 Republican vice presidential nomination, reflecting his elevated national profile as Secretary of State and expanded diplomatic responsibilities. The field remains fragmented, with no other contender exceeding single-digit implied probabilities, as most options draw support from narrower ideological or regional bases. Key differentiators include Rubio’s executive-branch tenure and foreign-policy visibility compared with legislative figures like Thomas Massie or Rand Paul, media personalities such as Tucker Carlson, or governors with limited national exposure. Consolidation behind one outcome could hinge on post-midterm positioning by party leaders, Trump administration signals on the presidential ticket, or shifts in polling among Republican primary voters ahead of the 2028 convention.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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