Senate Republicans have repeatedly blocked the SAVE Act despite House passage in February 2026 by a 218–213 margin. The measure failed as a Senate amendment to a DHS funding bill in June and has not advanced through regular order, as it lacks the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated the votes are unavailable, with several Republicans joining Democrats on procedural tests. Efforts to attach the bill to must-pass legislation such as the NDAA or appropriations have also stalled, and while reconciliation has been discussed as an alternative path ahead of the November midterms, the Byrd Rule and narrow margins create significant barriers. These confirmed legislative outcomes underpin trader expectations that the bill will not reach the president’s desk before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHR 22 (SAVE Act) convertito in legge nel 2026?
HR 22 (SAVE Act) convertito in legge nel 2026?
Sì
7% probabilità
$191,443 Vol.
$191,443 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
7% probabilità
$191,443 Vol.
$191,443 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senate Republicans have repeatedly blocked the SAVE Act despite House passage in February 2026 by a 218–213 margin. The measure failed as a Senate amendment to a DHS funding bill in June and has not advanced through regular order, as it lacks the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated the votes are unavailable, with several Republicans joining Democrats on procedural tests. Efforts to attach the bill to must-pass legislation such as the NDAA or appropriations have also stalled, and while reconciliation has been discussed as an alternative path ahead of the November midterms, the Byrd Rule and narrow margins create significant barriers. These confirmed legislative outcomes underpin trader expectations that the bill will not reach the president’s desk before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$191,443Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senate Republicans have repeatedly blocked the SAVE Act despite House passage in February 2026 by a 218–213 margin. The measure failed as a Senate amendment to a DHS funding bill in June and has not advanced through regular order, as it lacks the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated the votes are unavailable, with several Republicans joining Democrats on procedural tests. Efforts to attach the bill to must-pass legislation such as the NDAA or appropriations have also stalled, and while reconciliation has been discussed as an alternative path ahead of the November midterms, the Byrd Rule and narrow margins create significant barriers. These confirmed legislative outcomes underpin trader expectations that the bill will not reach the president’s desk before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$191,443Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Senate Republicans have repeatedly blocked the SAVE Act despite House passage in February 2026 by a 218–213 margin. The measure failed as a Senate amendment to a DHS funding bill in June and has not advanced through regular order, as it lacks the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated the votes are unavailable, with several Republicans joining Democrats on procedural tests. Efforts to attach the bill to must-pass legislation such as the NDAA or appropriations have also stalled, and while reconciliation has been discussed as an alternative path ahead of the November midterms, the Byrd Rule and narrow margins create significant barriers. These confirmed legislative outcomes underpin trader expectations that the bill will not reach the president’s desk before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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