The Republican tilt of South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index and carried by Donald Trump by double digits in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring Jenny Costa Honeycutt. After Nancy Mace vacated the open seat to run for governor, Honeycutt secured the GOP nomination in a June 2026 runoff, positioning her as the clear favorite in a district redrawn to favor Republicans. Nancy Lacore’s Democratic nomination, backed by her Navy background and early fundraising, has drawn some outside investment, yet recent polling and historical margins keep the race from shifting into toss-up territory. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, consistent with current implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera SC-01
$54,968 Vol.
$54,968 Vol.
Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R)
71%
Nancy Lacore (D)
30%
$54,968 Vol.
$54,968 Vol.
Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R)
71%
Nancy Lacore (D)
30%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican tilt of South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index and carried by Donald Trump by double digits in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring Jenny Costa Honeycutt. After Nancy Mace vacated the open seat to run for governor, Honeycutt secured the GOP nomination in a June 2026 runoff, positioning her as the clear favorite in a district redrawn to favor Republicans. Nancy Lacore’s Democratic nomination, backed by her Navy background and early fundraising, has drawn some outside investment, yet recent polling and historical margins keep the race from shifting into toss-up territory. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, consistent with current implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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