Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 1st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's R+29 Partisan Voter Index, combined with consistent Republican dominance since 1881 and strong prior performance margins near 80 percent, anchors trader expectations. Harshbarger cleared an uncontested primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Kristi Burke, who advanced from her August primary. Election forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican with no recent polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm wave, though these remain low-probability factors given the district's structural fundamentals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$27,101 Vol.
$27,101 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
97%
Kristi Burke (D)
4%
$27,101 Vol.
$27,101 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
$21,678 Vol.
97%
Kristi Burke (D)
$5,423 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 1st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's R+29 Partisan Voter Index, combined with consistent Republican dominance since 1881 and strong prior performance margins near 80 percent, anchors trader expectations. Harshbarger cleared an uncontested primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Kristi Burke, who advanced from her August primary. Election forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican with no recent polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm wave, though these remain low-probability factors given the district's structural fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,101Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 1st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's R+29 Partisan Voter Index, combined with consistent Republican dominance since 1881 and strong prior performance margins near 80 percent, anchors trader expectations. Harshbarger cleared an uncontested primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Kristi Burke, who advanced from her August primary. Election forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican with no recent polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm wave, though these remain low-probability factors given the district's structural fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,101Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 1st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's R+29 Partisan Voter Index, combined with consistent Republican dominance since 1881 and strong prior performance margins near 80 percent, anchors trader expectations. Harshbarger cleared an uncontested primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Kristi Burke, who advanced from her August primary. Election forecasters rate the race solid or safe Republican with no recent polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm wave, though these remain low-probability factors given the district's structural fundamentals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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