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icon for Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 1° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 1° posto

icon for Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 1° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 1° posto

Eduardo Gomes 82%

Alexandre Guimarães 10.0%

Gaguim 1.1%

Paulo Mourão <1%

Polymarket

$27,162 Vol.

Eduardo Gomes 82%

Alexandre Guimarães 10.0%

Gaguim 1.1%

Paulo Mourão <1%

Polymarket

$27,162 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$15,769 Vol.

82%

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$2,426 Vol.

9%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$1,517 Vol.

1%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$774 Vol.

1%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$699 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$819 Vol.

<1%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$701 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$769 Vol.

<1%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$762 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$769 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$554 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$791 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$811 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the Tocantins Senate race due to repeated leads in multiple polling averages through mid-September 2026. Surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá show him ahead with 25% or more in stimulated scenarios, well clear of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and others in the fragmented field for the two available seats. Voters select two names, amplifying the value of a clear first-place frontrunner. Recent candidate debates have not altered the established hierarchy, while lower support for figures such as Gaguim, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Paulo Mourão, and Eli Borges reflects persistent vote splitting. The October 4 first-round voting date leaves limited time for late shifts before market resolution.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$27,162
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, holds a commanding position in the Tocantins Senate race due to repeated leads in multiple polling averages through mid-September 2026. Surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá show him ahead with 25% or more in stimulated scenarios, well clear of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and others in the fragmented field for the two available seats. Voters select two names, amplifying the value of a clear first-place frontrunner. Recent candidate debates have not altered the established hierarchy, while lower support for figures such as Gaguim, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Paulo Mourão, and Eli Borges reflects persistent vote splitting. The October 4 first-round voting date leaves limited time for late shifts before market resolution.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$27,162
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Alexandre Guimarães otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Tocantins del 2026?

Alexandre Guimarães otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Tocantins del 2026?

42%
Sì
icon for Michelle Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

Michelle Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?

88%
Sì
icon for Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

53%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 1° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Eduardo Gomes" a 82%, seguito da "Alexandre Guimarães" a 9%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 82¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 82% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 1° posto" ha generato $27.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 1° posto", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 1° posto" è "Eduardo Gomes" a 82%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 82% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Alexandre Guimarães" a 9%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni al Senato di Tocantins: 1° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.