Cid Gomes (PSB), the incumbent senator and former Ceará governor, holds a strong lead in recent polling aggregates for the October 4, 2026, election of two senators, with consolidated vote shares of 23-27% and first-vote figures near 31% across Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data surveys from late August into early September. His PSB nomination was formalized at the state convention in early August following alignment with the Elmano de Freitas (PT) gubernatorial ticket and federal support. Main challengers Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) trail in most scenarios for the top position while competing more closely for the second seat. High name recognition, coalition backing, and stable polling trends underpin trader pricing that positions Cid as the clear frontrunner for first place.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCid Gomes 77%
Capitão Wagner 11%
Luizianne 5.1%
Alcides Fernandes <1%
$23,581 Vol.
$23,581 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Cid Gomes
77%
Capitão Wagner
11%
Luizianne
5%
Alcides Fernandes
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Lino Alves
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Cid Gomes 77%
Capitão Wagner 11%
Luizianne 5.1%
Alcides Fernandes <1%
$23,581 Vol.
$23,581 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Cid Gomes
$15,837 Vol.
77%
Capitão Wagner
$2,715 Vol.
11%
Luizianne
$1,258 Vol.
5%
Alcides Fernandes
$857 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$654 Vol.
<1%
Lino Alves
$840 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$650 Vol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$769 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB), the incumbent senator and former Ceará governor, holds a strong lead in recent polling aggregates for the October 4, 2026, election of two senators, with consolidated vote shares of 23-27% and first-vote figures near 31% across Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data surveys from late August into early September. His PSB nomination was formalized at the state convention in early August following alignment with the Elmano de Freitas (PT) gubernatorial ticket and federal support. Main challengers Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) trail in most scenarios for the top position while competing more closely for the second seat. High name recognition, coalition backing, and stable polling trends underpin trader pricing that positions Cid as the clear frontrunner for first place.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$23,581Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB), the incumbent senator and former Ceará governor, holds a strong lead in recent polling aggregates for the October 4, 2026, election of two senators, with consolidated vote shares of 23-27% and first-vote figures near 31% across Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data surveys from late August into early September. His PSB nomination was formalized at the state convention in early August following alignment with the Elmano de Freitas (PT) gubernatorial ticket and federal support. Main challengers Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) trail in most scenarios for the top position while competing more closely for the second seat. High name recognition, coalition backing, and stable polling trends underpin trader pricing that positions Cid as the clear frontrunner for first place.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$23,581Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Cid Gomes (PSB), the incumbent senator and former Ceará governor, holds a strong lead in recent polling aggregates for the October 4, 2026, election of two senators, with consolidated vote shares of 23-27% and first-vote figures near 31% across Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data surveys from late August into early September. His PSB nomination was formalized at the state convention in early August following alignment with the Elmano de Freitas (PT) gubernatorial ticket and federal support. Main challengers Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) trail in most scenarios for the top position while competing more closely for the second seat. High name recognition, coalition backing, and stable polling trends underpin trader pricing that positions Cid as the clear frontrunner for first place.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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