Teresa Surita (MDB) holds a narrow lead in the latest Quaest survey for Roraima’s two Senate seats, reflecting her established profile as a multiple-term mayor of Boa Vista and prior federal deputy service, which supports her 53.5% implied probability for first place on Polymarket. The race remains tightly contested because voters select two distinct candidates in a fragmented field, with Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) clustered within the poll’s margin of error and 67% undecided in spontaneous responses. Recent state-level political turbulence, including gubernatorial transitions and candidate registrations, has not yet consolidated preferences. Upcoming campaign events, alliance formations, or shifts among undecided voters before the October 4 vote could reorder the top finishers by altering turnout or second-preference flows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTeresa Surita 54%
Nicoletti 27.8%
Helena da Asatur 13.1%
Helio Bolsonaro 5.1%
$51,506 Vol.
$51,506 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Teresa Surita
54%
Nicoletti
28%
Helena da Asatur
11%
Helio Bolsonaro
5%
Chico Rodrigues
4%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Teresa Surita 54%
Nicoletti 27.8%
Helena da Asatur 13.1%
Helio Bolsonaro 5.1%
$51,506 Vol.
$51,506 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Teresa Surita
$21,937 Vol.
54%
Nicoletti
$10,900 Vol.
28%
Helena da Asatur
$3,012 Vol.
11%
Helio Bolsonaro
$8,801 Vol.
5%
Chico Rodrigues
$1,533 Vol.
4%
Bartô Macuxi
$457 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$687 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$794 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$702 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$900 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$616 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$692 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$476 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds a narrow lead in the latest Quaest survey for Roraima’s two Senate seats, reflecting her established profile as a multiple-term mayor of Boa Vista and prior federal deputy service, which supports her 53.5% implied probability for first place on Polymarket. The race remains tightly contested because voters select two distinct candidates in a fragmented field, with Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) clustered within the poll’s margin of error and 67% undecided in spontaneous responses. Recent state-level political turbulence, including gubernatorial transitions and candidate registrations, has not yet consolidated preferences. Upcoming campaign events, alliance formations, or shifts among undecided voters before the October 4 vote could reorder the top finishers by altering turnout or second-preference flows.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$51,506Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds a narrow lead in the latest Quaest survey for Roraima’s two Senate seats, reflecting her established profile as a multiple-term mayor of Boa Vista and prior federal deputy service, which supports her 53.5% implied probability for first place on Polymarket. The race remains tightly contested because voters select two distinct candidates in a fragmented field, with Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) clustered within the poll’s margin of error and 67% undecided in spontaneous responses. Recent state-level political turbulence, including gubernatorial transitions and candidate registrations, has not yet consolidated preferences. Upcoming campaign events, alliance formations, or shifts among undecided voters before the October 4 vote could reorder the top finishers by altering turnout or second-preference flows.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$51,506Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) holds a narrow lead in the latest Quaest survey for Roraima’s two Senate seats, reflecting her established profile as a multiple-term mayor of Boa Vista and prior federal deputy service, which supports her 53.5% implied probability for first place on Polymarket. The race remains tightly contested because voters select two distinct candidates in a fragmented field, with Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) clustered within the poll’s margin of error and 67% undecided in spontaneous responses. Recent state-level political turbulence, including gubernatorial transitions and candidate registrations, has not yet consolidated preferences. Upcoming campaign events, alliance formations, or shifts among undecided voters before the October 4 vote could reorder the top finishers by altering turnout or second-preference flows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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