**The São Paulo Senate race for the two seats remains highly competitive, with recent polls showing Guilherme Derrite (PP), Marina Silva (Rede), and Simone Tebet (PSB) in a tight technical tie near the top, followed closely by André do Prado (PL) and Ricardo Salles (Novo).** Marina and Tebet run together on the center-left “Desperta São Paulo” coalition aligned with Fernando Haddad’s gubernatorial bid, while Derrite and Prado appear on the center-right slate backed by Governor Tarcísio de Freitas. Late-August surveys from Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data indicate 11–12% support for the leading trio, single-digit figures for the next tier, and roughly 27% undecided plus 18% blank/null, leaving substantial room for movement before October. Low voter familiarity and the requirement to select two distinct candidates keep second-place positioning fluid, with any shift in turnout, coalition consolidation, or late campaign momentum among the right-leaning or independent options most likely to reorder the lower half of the leaderboard.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSimone Tebet 29%
Marina Silva 25%
André do Prado 21.6%
Guilherme Derrite 21%
$39,346 Vol.
$39,346 Vol.
Simone Tebet
29%
Marina Silva
25%
André do Prado
22%
Guilherme Derrite
21%
Salles
9%
Ednelson Cesaretti
<1%
Geraldo Rufino
<1%
Marcio Alves
<1%
Petter Maahs
<1%
Weller Gonçalves
<1%
William Teixeira
<1%
Dott.ssa Eliana Ferreira
<1%
Maíra de Souza
<1%
Soninha Francine
<1%
Simone Tebet 29%
Marina Silva 25%
André do Prado 21.6%
Guilherme Derrite 21%
$39,346 Vol.
$39,346 Vol.
Simone Tebet
29%
Marina Silva
25%
André do Prado
22%
Guilherme Derrite
21%
Salles
9%
Ednelson Cesaretti
<1%
Geraldo Rufino
<1%
Marcio Alves
<1%
Petter Maahs
<1%
Weller Gonçalves
<1%
William Teixeira
<1%
Dott.ssa Eliana Ferreira
<1%
Maíra de Souza
<1%
Soninha Francine
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...**The São Paulo Senate race for the two seats remains highly competitive, with recent polls showing Guilherme Derrite (PP), Marina Silva (Rede), and Simone Tebet (PSB) in a tight technical tie near the top, followed closely by André do Prado (PL) and Ricardo Salles (Novo).** Marina and Tebet run together on the center-left “Desperta São Paulo” coalition aligned with Fernando Haddad’s gubernatorial bid, while Derrite and Prado appear on the center-right slate backed by Governor Tarcísio de Freitas. Late-August surveys from Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data indicate 11–12% support for the leading trio, single-digit figures for the next tier, and roughly 27% undecided plus 18% blank/null, leaving substantial room for movement before October. Low voter familiarity and the requirement to select two distinct candidates keep second-place positioning fluid, with any shift in turnout, coalition consolidation, or late campaign momentum among the right-leaning or independent options most likely to reorder the lower half of the leaderboard.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?
Alexandre Curi otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Paraná del 2026?
Leila do Vôlei otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?
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