Recent polls from late August 2026 show Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round intentions with 26-34%, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) at 18-22%, Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) at 16-21%, and David Almeida (Avante) at 14-15%, within margins of error. Second-round simulations remain closely contested, with Aziz edging Cidade or Carmo by 1-5 points and several scenarios statistically tied. Aziz’s candidacy was formalized in July party conventions alongside alliances with MDB and Republicanos, while undecided voters hover near 16% and 43% report openness to shifting preferences before the October 4 first round. These dynamics, combined with regional priorities such as health services, public security, and economic support for the Zona Franca de Manaus, sustain tight trader pricing around Aziz as the narrow favorite amid a fragmented field.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOmar Aziz 55%
Roberto Cidade 28.4%
Professoressa Maria do Carmo 19%
David Almeida 1.2%
$15,856 Vol.
$15,856 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Omar Aziz
55%
Roberto Cidade
24%
Professoressa Maria do Carmo
19%
David Almeida
7%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
Omar Aziz 55%
Roberto Cidade 28.4%
Professoressa Maria do Carmo 19%
David Almeida 1.2%
$15,856 Vol.
$15,856 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Omar Aziz
$6,137 Vol.
55%
Roberto Cidade
$3,065 Vol.
24%
Professoressa Maria do Carmo
$3,332 Vol.
19%
David Almeida
$1,409 Vol.
7%
Cabo Daciolo
$523 Vol.
<1%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
$807 Vol.
<1%
Isael Munduruku
$583 Vol.
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August 2026 show Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round intentions with 26-34%, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) at 18-22%, Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) at 16-21%, and David Almeida (Avante) at 14-15%, within margins of error. Second-round simulations remain closely contested, with Aziz edging Cidade or Carmo by 1-5 points and several scenarios statistically tied. Aziz’s candidacy was formalized in July party conventions alongside alliances with MDB and Republicanos, while undecided voters hover near 16% and 43% report openness to shifting preferences before the October 4 first round. These dynamics, combined with regional priorities such as health services, public security, and economic support for the Zona Franca de Manaus, sustain tight trader pricing around Aziz as the narrow favorite amid a fragmented field.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Volume
$15,856Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August 2026 show Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round intentions with 26-34%, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) at 18-22%, Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) at 16-21%, and David Almeida (Avante) at 14-15%, within margins of error. Second-round simulations remain closely contested, with Aziz edging Cidade or Carmo by 1-5 points and several scenarios statistically tied. Aziz’s candidacy was formalized in July party conventions alongside alliances with MDB and Republicanos, while undecided voters hover near 16% and 43% report openness to shifting preferences before the October 4 first round. These dynamics, combined with regional priorities such as health services, public security, and economic support for the Zona Franca de Manaus, sustain tight trader pricing around Aziz as the narrow favorite amid a fragmented field.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,856Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from late August 2026 show Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round intentions with 26-34%, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) at 18-22%, Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) at 16-21%, and David Almeida (Avante) at 14-15%, within margins of error. Second-round simulations remain closely contested, with Aziz edging Cidade or Carmo by 1-5 points and several scenarios statistically tied. Aziz’s candidacy was formalized in July party conventions alongside alliances with MDB and Republicanos, while undecided voters hover near 16% and 43% report openness to shifting preferences before the October 4 first round. These dynamics, combined with regional priorities such as health services, public security, and economic support for the Zona Franca de Manaus, sustain tight trader pricing around Aziz as the narrow favorite amid a fragmented field.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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