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Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto ad Amapá

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto ad Amapá
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto ad Amapá

Lula 63%

Flavio Bolsonaro 32%

Hertz Dias 1.9%

Pablo Marçal 1.3%

Polymarket

$13,532 Vol.

Lula 63%

Flavio Bolsonaro 32%

Hertz Dias 1.9%

Pablo Marçal 1.3%

Polymarket

$13,532 Vol.

icon for Lula

Lula

$3,619 Vol.

63%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$2,617 Vol.

32%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$935 Vol.

2%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$1,124 Vol.

1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$640 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$357 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$343 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$624 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinario Wilson Grassi

Veterinario Wilson Grassi

$561 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$641 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$697 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$747 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula leads the race for first place in Amapá’s October 4 first-round presidential vote according to trader consensus, reflecting a narrow advantage in the most recent state-specific polling. The late-August Quaest survey commissioned by Rede Amazônica showed the PT incumbent at 36% against Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) at 33%, with all other tested names—including Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, and Escritor Augusto Cury—registering 3% or lower amid 14% undecided and 8% blank or null. Earlier July data from Real Time Big Data produced a similar Lula–Flávio split. National aggregators continue to place Lula modestly ahead of his main challenger overall, while the start of free electoral broadcasts on August 28 and limited debate participation have not yet produced measurable shifts in Amapá. Lower-polling candidates remain marginal given persistent single-digit or sub-1% readings and the concentration of preferences on the two frontrunners.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$13,532
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula leads the race for first place in Amapá’s October 4 first-round presidential vote according to trader consensus, reflecting a narrow advantage in the most recent state-specific polling. The late-August Quaest survey commissioned by Rede Amazônica showed the PT incumbent at 36% against Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) at 33%, with all other tested names—including Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, Pablo Marçal, and Escritor Augusto Cury—registering 3% or lower amid 14% undecided and 8% blank or null. Earlier July data from Real Time Big Data produced a similar Lula–Flávio split. National aggregators continue to place Lula modestly ahead of his main challenger overall, while the start of free electoral broadcasts on August 28 and limited debate participation have not yet produced measurable shifts in Amapá. Lower-polling candidates remain marginal given persistent single-digit or sub-1% readings and the concentration of preferences on the two frontrunners.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$13,532
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Correlati

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane a San Paolo?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane a San Paolo?

70%
Sì
icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Pará?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Pará?

95%
Sì
icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

90%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto ad Amapá" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lula" a 63%, seguito da "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 33%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 63¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 63% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto ad Amapá" ha generato $13.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto ad Amapá", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto ad Amapá" è "Lula" a 63%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 63% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 33%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto ad Amapá" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.