Recent polling in late August 2026 shows a technical tie or narrow leads between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the Bahia gubernatorial race, with results varying by institute and often within margins of error. This closeness sustains the market's near-even split, reflecting competing strengths: Jerônimo's incumbency approval and ties to the federal PT administration versus ACM Neto's established base in Salvador and opposition momentum. Minor candidates remain marginal, while scheduled first-round voting on October 4 and potential runoff dynamics keep trader focus on undecided voters and campaign shifts in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJerônimo Rodrigues 53%
ACM Neto 47%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$132,748 Vol.
$132,748 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
53%
ACM Neto
47%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 53%
ACM Neto 47%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$132,748 Vol.
$132,748 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$41,893 Vol.
53%
ACM Neto
$48,730 Vol.
47%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 Vol.
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in late August 2026 shows a technical tie or narrow leads between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the Bahia gubernatorial race, with results varying by institute and often within margins of error. This closeness sustains the market's near-even split, reflecting competing strengths: Jerônimo's incumbency approval and ties to the federal PT administration versus ACM Neto's established base in Salvador and opposition momentum. Minor candidates remain marginal, while scheduled first-round voting on October 4 and potential runoff dynamics keep trader focus on undecided voters and campaign shifts in the final weeks.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$132,748Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in late August 2026 shows a technical tie or narrow leads between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the Bahia gubernatorial race, with results varying by institute and often within margins of error. This closeness sustains the market's near-even split, reflecting competing strengths: Jerônimo's incumbency approval and ties to the federal PT administration versus ACM Neto's established base in Salvador and opposition momentum. Minor candidates remain marginal, while scheduled first-round voting on October 4 and potential runoff dynamics keep trader focus on undecided voters and campaign shifts in the final weeks.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$132,748Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in late August 2026 shows a technical tie or narrow leads between incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and challenger ACM Neto (União Brasil) in the Bahia gubernatorial race, with results varying by institute and often within margins of error. This closeness sustains the market's near-even split, reflecting competing strengths: Jerônimo's incumbency approval and ties to the federal PT administration versus ACM Neto's established base in Salvador and opposition momentum. Minor candidates remain marginal, while scheduled first-round voting on October 4 and potential runoff dynamics keep trader focus on undecided voters and campaign shifts in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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