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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí

Rafael Fonteles 98.8%

Dott.ssa Lúcia Santos <1%

Elizeu Aguiar <1%

Geraldo Carvalho <1%

Polymarket

$52,876 Vol.

Rafael Fonteles 98.8%

Dott.ssa Lúcia Santos <1%

Elizeu Aguiar <1%

Geraldo Carvalho <1%

Polymarket

$52,876 Vol.

icon for Rafael Fonteles

Rafael Fonteles

$45,004 Vol.

99%

icon for Dott.ssa Lúcia Santos

Dott.ssa Lúcia Santos

$852 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elizeu Aguiar

Elizeu Aguiar

$627 Vol.

<1%

icon for Geraldo Carvalho

Geraldo Carvalho

$651 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Feijó

Gustavo Feijó

$529 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joel Rodrigues

Joel Rodrigues

$516 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lourdes Melo

Lourdes Melo

$892 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Gisvaldo

Professor Gisvaldo

$772 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Jurity

Professor Jurity

$1,158 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ravenna da Inclusão

Ravenna da Inclusão

$1,025 Vol.

<1%

icon for Santiago Belizário

Santiago Belizário

$852 Vol.

<1%

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles, the incumbent PT governor of Piauí seeking re-election, holds a dominant position in the October 4, 2026, first-round vote due to consistent polling leads of 50-73% in valid votes across multiple surveys through early September. His administration maintains approval ratings near 62-67%, reflecting support for infrastructure initiatives, municipal resource decentralization, and alliances within the FE Brasil coalition. The fragmented opposition, led by Joel Rodrigues of the PP at roughly 20-25%, shows limited momentum. While the market pricing reflects this entrenched advantage, outcomes could still shift from unusually low turnout, last-minute campaign developments, or stronger-than-expected opposition consolidation ahead of a potential October 25 runoff.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$52,876
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles, the incumbent PT governor of Piauí seeking re-election, holds a dominant position in the October 4, 2026, first-round vote due to consistent polling leads of 50-73% in valid votes across multiple surveys through early September. His administration maintains approval ratings near 62-67%, reflecting support for infrastructure initiatives, municipal resource decentralization, and alliances within the FE Brasil coalition. The fragmented opposition, led by Joel Rodrigues of the PP at roughly 20-25%, shows limited momentum. While the market pricing reflects this entrenched advantage, outcomes could still shift from unusually low turnout, last-minute campaign developments, or stronger-than-expected opposition consolidation ahead of a potential October 25 runoff.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$52,876
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Rafael Fonteles" a 99%, seguito da "Dott.ssa Lúcia Santos" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 99¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí" ha generato $52.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí" è "Rafael Fonteles" a 99%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 99% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Dott.ssa Lúcia Santos" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Piauí" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.