Recent polling from August and early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading consolidated vote intentions for Ceará's two Senate seats at 23-26%, positioning Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a close contest for second amid margins of error. The dual-vote system, where electors select two candidates, combined with undecided shares of 10-20%, sustains narrow gaps as voters split preferences between government-aligned and opposition tickets. Luizianne benefits from left-leaning consolidation on the Elmano de Freitas slate, while Wagner draws broader opposition support; Alcides Fernandes (PL) and others trail further behind. Limited recent alliance shifts or campaign events have yet to widen separation ahead of the October 4 election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLuizianne 37%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Cid Gomes 22%
Alcides Fernandes 4.5%
$36,517 Vol.
$36,517 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Luizianne
37%
Capitão Wagner
36%
Cid Gomes
22%
Alcides Fernandes
5%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Luizianne 37%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Cid Gomes 22%
Alcides Fernandes 4.5%
$36,517 Vol.
$36,517 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Luizianne
$11,623 Vol.
37%
Capitão Wagner
$14,348 Vol.
36%
Cid Gomes
$4,903 Vol.
22%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,100 Vol.
5%
Lino Alves
$942 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$825 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$1,541 Vol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from August and early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading consolidated vote intentions for Ceará's two Senate seats at 23-26%, positioning Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a close contest for second amid margins of error. The dual-vote system, where electors select two candidates, combined with undecided shares of 10-20%, sustains narrow gaps as voters split preferences between government-aligned and opposition tickets. Luizianne benefits from left-leaning consolidation on the Elmano de Freitas slate, while Wagner draws broader opposition support; Alcides Fernandes (PL) and others trail further behind. Limited recent alliance shifts or campaign events have yet to widen separation ahead of the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$36,517Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from August and early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading consolidated vote intentions for Ceará's two Senate seats at 23-26%, positioning Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a close contest for second amid margins of error. The dual-vote system, where electors select two candidates, combined with undecided shares of 10-20%, sustains narrow gaps as voters split preferences between government-aligned and opposition tickets. Luizianne benefits from left-leaning consolidation on the Elmano de Freitas slate, while Wagner draws broader opposition support; Alcides Fernandes (PL) and others trail further behind. Limited recent alliance shifts or campaign events have yet to widen separation ahead of the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$36,517Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from August and early September 2026 shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading consolidated vote intentions for Ceará's two Senate seats at 23-26%, positioning Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a close contest for second amid margins of error. The dual-vote system, where electors select two candidates, combined with undecided shares of 10-20%, sustains narrow gaps as voters split preferences between government-aligned and opposition tickets. Luizianne benefits from left-leaning consolidation on the Elmano de Freitas slate, while Wagner draws broader opposition support; Alcides Fernandes (PL) and others trail further behind. Limited recent alliance shifts or campaign events have yet to widen separation ahead of the October 4 election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Cid Gomes otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Ceará del 2026?
77%
Sì
Simone Tebet otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato di San Paolo del 2026?
36%
Sì
Humberto Costa otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Pernambuco del 2026?
43%
Sì
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