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icon for Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto

icon for Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto
Politica·Brasile

Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto

Styvenson Valentim 72%

Zenaide Maia 15.3%

Samanda de Lula 5.1%

Rosália Fernandes <1%

Polymarket

$19,856 Vol.

Styvenson Valentim 72%

Zenaide Maia 15.3%

Samanda de Lula 5.1%

Rosália Fernandes <1%

Polymarket

$19,856 Vol.

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$7,393 Vol.

72%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$5,285 Vol.

15%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$888 Vol.

5%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$808 Vol.

1%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$558 Vol.

<1%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$487 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$528 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$565 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$542 Vol.

<1%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$717 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$526 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$640 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$443 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$474 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Styvenson Valentim (PODEMOS) holds a commanding lead in Rio Grande do Norte’s two-seat Senate race, reflected in his 71.5% implied probability for first place.** Recent August 2026 polls, including Quaest (Aug 20–23) and Consult, show him capturing 26–35% in first-preference votes and 16–21% in combined first-plus-second choices, well ahead of Zenaide Maia (PSD) at 10–13%. Other contenders such as Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) trail in single digits or lower amid 47%+ undecided or blank/null responses. Valentim’s consistent edge stems from incumbency, higher name recognition, and stronger performance in spontaneous and stimulated scenarios across multiple institutes, while the second seat remains fragmented. With the October 4 election approaching and campaign activity intensifying since mid-August, trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages for the sitting senator.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$19,856
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Styvenson Valentim (PODEMOS) holds a commanding lead in Rio Grande do Norte’s two-seat Senate race, reflected in his 71.5% implied probability for first place.** Recent August 2026 polls, including Quaest (Aug 20–23) and Consult, show him capturing 26–35% in first-preference votes and 16–21% in combined first-plus-second choices, well ahead of Zenaide Maia (PSD) at 10–13%. Other contenders such as Samanda de Lula (PT), Rafael Motta (PDT), and Coronel Hélio (PL) trail in single digits or lower amid 47%+ undecided or blank/null responses. Valentim’s consistent edge stems from incumbency, higher name recognition, and stronger performance in spontaneous and stimulated scenarios across multiple institutes, while the second seat remains fragmented. With the October 4 election approaching and campaign activity intensifying since mid-August, trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages for the sitting senator.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$19,856
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Correlati

icon for Rafael Motta otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni senatoriali del 2026 a Rio Grande do Norte?

Rafael Motta otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni senatoriali del 2026 a Rio Grande do Norte?

38%
Sì
icon for Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

38%
icon for Manuela D'Ávila otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul del 2026?

Manuela D'Ávila otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Sul del 2026?

33%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 14 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Styvenson Valentim" a 72%, seguito da "Zenaide Maia" a 15%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 72¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 72% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto" ha generato $19.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto", esplora i 14 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto" è "Styvenson Valentim" a 72%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 72% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Zenaide Maia" a 15%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni per il Senato del Rio Grande do Norte: 1° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.