Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Quale sarà il tasso della Fed prima del 2027?
Economy·Jerome Powell

Quale sarà il tasso della Fed prima del 2027?

icon for Quale sarà il tasso della Fed prima del 2027?
Economy·Jerome Powell

Quale sarà il tasso della Fed prima del 2027?

$1,832,173 Vol.

30 dic 2026
Polymarket

$1,832,173 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 5,5%

$55,103 Vol.

2%

↑ 5,25%

$142,557 Vol.

3%

↑ 5,0%

$19,154 Vol.

3%

↑ 4,75%

$80,602 Vol.

5%

↑ 4,5%

$39,282 Vol.

24%

↑ 4,25%

$126,225 Vol.

73%

↓ 3,25%

$81,468 Vol.

6%

↓ 3,0%

$318,836 Vol.

1%

↓ 2,75%

$365,955 Vol.

3%

↓ 2,5%

$224,099 Vol.

2%

↓ 2,25%

$41,639 Vol.

2%

↓ 2,0%

$19,306 Vol.

3%

↓ 1,75%

$13,086 Vol.

1%

↓ 1,5%

$28,320 Vol.

2%

↓ 1,25%

$3,778 Vol.

1%

↓ 1,0%

$2,319 Vol.

2%

↓ 0,75%

$741 Vol.

2%

↓ 0,5%

$107,192 Vol.

2%

↓ 0,25%

$132,355 Vol.

2%

↓ 0%

$21,153 Vol.

1%

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Open Market Committee raised the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% on September 16, 2026, its first hike since 2023, citing elevated inflation at 3.4% year-over-year in August CPI data. The updated dot plot showed a median projection of 4.1% by year-end 2026, with most participants expecting at least one additional increase before December, driven by resilient economic growth, strong productivity, and energy price pressures amid geopolitical tensions. Labor market conditions remain stable with unemployment near 4.1%, while upcoming October and December meetings, along with fresh CPI releases, will shape whether rates peak near 4.25% or hold steady into 2027. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on the policy path amid these data points.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volume
$1,832,173
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The Federal Open Market Committee raised the federal funds target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% on September 16, 2026, its first hike since 2023, citing elevated inflation at 3.4% year-over-year in August CPI data. The updated dot plot showed a median projection of 4.1% by year-end 2026, with most participants expecting at least one additional increase before December, driven by resilient economic growth, strong productivity, and energy price pressures amid geopolitical tensions. Labor market conditions remain stable with unemployment near 4.1%, while upcoming October and December meetings, along with fresh CPI releases, will shape whether rates peak near 4.25% or hold steady into 2027. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on the policy path amid these data points.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Volume
$1,832,173
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...

Correlati

icon for Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

69%
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

57%
icon for Il limite superiore del tasso federale target sarà del 4,25% alla fine del 2026?

Il limite superiore del tasso federale target sarà del 4,25% alla fine del 2026?

49%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Quale sarà il tasso della Fed prima del 2027?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 21 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "↓ 3,5%" a 100%, seguito da "↑ 4,25%" a 73%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Quale sarà il tasso della Fed prima del 2027?" ha generato $1.8 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 18, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Quale sarà il tasso della Fed prima del 2027?", esplora i 21 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Quale sarà il tasso della Fed prima del 2027?" è "↓ 3,5%" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "↑ 4,25%" a 73%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Quale sarà il tasso della Fed prima del 2027?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.