Recent polling from late August and early September shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round intention-to-vote surveys with 26–34 percent, while Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante) remain locked in a technical tie for second place. High undecided and spontaneous non-response rates exceeding 60 percent in several surveys leave substantial room for late shifts before the October 4 first round. The current governor Cidade, installed via indirect legislative vote in May after the prior executive stepped down, benefits from incumbency visibility but faces competition from established state-level figures. Traders price Aziz as the consensus favorite for eventual victory while assigning meaningful probability to a runoff scenario whose outcome remains sensitive to which challenger advances and how undecided voters consolidate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日オマール・アジズ 61%
プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ 24%
ロベルト・シダーデ 15.8%
ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス 1.0%
$25,498 Vol.
$25,498 Vol.
2026/10/04
オマール・アジズ
61%
プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ
24%
ロベルト・シダーデ
16%
ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス
1%
カボ・ダシオロ
<1%
ダビデ・アルメイダ
<1%
イサエル・ムンドゥルク
<1%
オマール・アジズ 61%
プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ 24%
ロベルト・シダーデ 15.8%
ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス 1.0%
$25,498 Vol.
$25,498 Vol.
2026/10/04
オマール・アジズ
$8,872 Vol.
61%
プロフェソーラ・マリア・ド・カルモ
$5,367 Vol.
24%
ロベルト・シダーデ
$4,178 Vol.
16%
ジルベルト・ヴァスコンセロス
$1,851 Vol.
1%
カボ・ダシオロ
$1,543 Vol.
<1%
ダビデ・アルメイダ
$1,911 Vol.
<1%
イサエル・ムンドゥルク
$1,776 Vol.
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and early September shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round intention-to-vote surveys with 26–34 percent, while Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante) remain locked in a technical tie for second place. High undecided and spontaneous non-response rates exceeding 60 percent in several surveys leave substantial room for late shifts before the October 4 first round. The current governor Cidade, installed via indirect legislative vote in May after the prior executive stepped down, benefits from incumbency visibility but faces competition from established state-level figures. Traders price Aziz as the consensus favorite for eventual victory while assigning meaningful probability to a runoff scenario whose outcome remains sensitive to which challenger advances and how undecided voters consolidate.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
音量
$25,498終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and early September shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round intention-to-vote surveys with 26–34 percent, while Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante) remain locked in a technical tie for second place. High undecided and spontaneous non-response rates exceeding 60 percent in several surveys leave substantial room for late shifts before the October 4 first round. The current governor Cidade, installed via indirect legislative vote in May after the prior executive stepped down, benefits from incumbency visibility but faces competition from established state-level figures. Traders price Aziz as the consensus favorite for eventual victory while assigning meaningful probability to a runoff scenario whose outcome remains sensitive to which challenger advances and how undecided voters consolidate.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$25,498終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August and early September shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round intention-to-vote surveys with 26–34 percent, while Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante) remain locked in a technical tie for second place. High undecided and spontaneous non-response rates exceeding 60 percent in several surveys leave substantial room for late shifts before the October 4 first round. The current governor Cidade, installed via indirect legislative vote in May after the prior executive stepped down, benefits from incumbency visibility but faces competition from established state-level figures. Traders price Aziz as the consensus favorite for eventual victory while assigning meaningful probability to a runoff scenario whose outcome remains sensitive to which challenger advances and how undecided voters consolidate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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