Major credit rating agencies have affirmed the US sovereign rating at AA+/Aa1 with stable outlooks following the 2023 Fitch and 2025 Moody’s downgrades, citing the economy’s scale, dollar reserve status, and institutional resilience as offsets to elevated deficits and debt above 117% of GDP. Fitch’s August 2026 affirmation projected continued rises in debt-to-GDP but signaled no near-term further cut, while S&P’s June 2026 action highlighted stable though high deficits supported by growth and tariff revenues. A large 2025 debt-ceiling increase pushed the next statutory limit to mid-2027, reducing near-term brinkmanship risks. Traders therefore assign an 83.5% probability to no additional downgrade before 2027, reflecting the agencies’ explicit stable outlooks and historical pattern of infrequent rapid successive moves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2027年までに別の米国債格下げ？
2027年までに別の米国債格下げ？
はい
14% 確率
$12,892 Vol.
$12,892 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
14% 確率
$12,892 Vol.
$12,892 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Major credit rating agencies have affirmed the US sovereign rating at AA+/Aa1 with stable outlooks following the 2023 Fitch and 2025 Moody’s downgrades, citing the economy’s scale, dollar reserve status, and institutional resilience as offsets to elevated deficits and debt above 117% of GDP. Fitch’s August 2026 affirmation projected continued rises in debt-to-GDP but signaled no near-term further cut, while S&P’s June 2026 action highlighted stable though high deficits supported by growth and tariff revenues. A large 2025 debt-ceiling increase pushed the next statutory limit to mid-2027, reducing near-term brinkmanship risks. Traders therefore assign an 83.5% probability to no additional downgrade before 2027, reflecting the agencies’ explicit stable outlooks and historical pattern of infrequent rapid successive moves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
音量
$12,892終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Major credit rating agencies have affirmed the US sovereign rating at AA+/Aa1 with stable outlooks following the 2023 Fitch and 2025 Moody’s downgrades, citing the economy’s scale, dollar reserve status, and institutional resilience as offsets to elevated deficits and debt above 117% of GDP. Fitch’s August 2026 affirmation projected continued rises in debt-to-GDP but signaled no near-term further cut, while S&P’s June 2026 action highlighted stable though high deficits supported by growth and tariff revenues. A large 2025 debt-ceiling increase pushed the next statutory limit to mid-2027, reducing near-term brinkmanship risks. Traders therefore assign an 83.5% probability to no additional downgrade before 2027, reflecting the agencies’ explicit stable outlooks and historical pattern of infrequent rapid successive moves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$12,892終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Major credit rating agencies have affirmed the US sovereign rating at AA+/Aa1 with stable outlooks following the 2023 Fitch and 2025 Moody’s downgrades, citing the economy’s scale, dollar reserve status, and institutional resilience as offsets to elevated deficits and debt above 117% of GDP. Fitch’s August 2026 affirmation projected continued rises in debt-to-GDP but signaled no near-term further cut, while S&P’s June 2026 action highlighted stable though high deficits supported by growth and tariff revenues. A large 2025 debt-ceiling increase pushed the next statutory limit to mid-2027, reducing near-term brinkmanship risks. Traders therefore assign an 83.5% probability to no additional downgrade before 2027, reflecting the agencies’ explicit stable outlooks and historical pattern of infrequent rapid successive moves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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