Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and registration advantage. As a longtime incumbent first elected in 1996, Sherman benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and endorsements within the party. California’s top-two primary system advanced him alongside Republican Larry Thompson after June 2026 voting, eliminating intra-party challengers and setting up a November matchup in a seat rated solidly Democratic by forecasters. Thompson, an attorney and film producer, faces structural barriers in a district spanning parts of Los Angeles and Ventura counties with consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,140 Vol.
$26,140 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブラッド・シャーマン（民主党）
95%
ラリー・トンプソン（共和党）
1%
$26,140 Vol.
$26,140 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブラッド・シャーマン（民主党）
$12,387 Vol.
95%
ラリー・トンプソン（共和党）
$13,753 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and registration advantage. As a longtime incumbent first elected in 1996, Sherman benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and endorsements within the party. California’s top-two primary system advanced him alongside Republican Larry Thompson after June 2026 voting, eliminating intra-party challengers and setting up a November matchup in a seat rated solidly Democratic by forecasters. Thompson, an attorney and film producer, faces structural barriers in a district spanning parts of Los Angeles and Ventura counties with consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$26,140終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and registration advantage. As a longtime incumbent first elected in 1996, Sherman benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and endorsements within the party. California’s top-two primary system advanced him alongside Republican Larry Thompson after June 2026 voting, eliminating intra-party challengers and setting up a November matchup in a seat rated solidly Democratic by forecasters. Thompson, an attorney and film producer, faces structural barriers in a district spanning parts of Los Angeles and Ventura counties with consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,140終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Brad Sherman holds a commanding lead in the CA-32 general election market due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and registration advantage. As a longtime incumbent first elected in 1996, Sherman benefits from established name recognition, superior fundraising, and endorsements within the party. California’s top-two primary system advanced him alongside Republican Larry Thompson after June 2026 voting, eliminating intra-party challengers and setting up a November matchup in a seat rated solidly Democratic by forecasters. Thompson, an attorney and film producer, faces structural barriers in a district spanning parts of Los Angeles and Ventura counties with consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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