California's 38th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. After redistricting created an open seat, former U.S. Representative and current Los Angeles County Supervisor Hilda Solis advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary as the clear Democratic nominee with nearly 48 percent of the vote. She faces Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the November general election. Solis's established profile, fundraising edge, and the district's voter registration and historical performance have produced trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or major national political shifts before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$63,872 Vol.
$63,872 Vol.
2026/11/02
ヒルダ・ソリス（民主党）
95%
ペドロ・カサス（共和党）
1%
$63,872 Vol.
$63,872 Vol.
2026/11/02
ヒルダ・ソリス（民主党）
$32,210 Vol.
95%
ペドロ・カサス（共和党）
$31,662 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. After redistricting created an open seat, former U.S. Representative and current Los Angeles County Supervisor Hilda Solis advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary as the clear Democratic nominee with nearly 48 percent of the vote. She faces Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the November general election. Solis's established profile, fundraising edge, and the district's voter registration and historical performance have produced trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or major national political shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$63,872終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. After redistricting created an open seat, former U.S. Representative and current Los Angeles County Supervisor Hilda Solis advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary as the clear Democratic nominee with nearly 48 percent of the vote. She faces Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the November general election. Solis's established profile, fundraising edge, and the district's voter registration and historical performance have produced trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or major national political shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$63,872終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic partisan advantage, reflected in consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. After redistricting created an open seat, former U.S. Representative and current Los Angeles County Supervisor Hilda Solis advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary as the clear Democratic nominee with nearly 48 percent of the vote. She faces Republican Pedro Antonio Casas in the November general election. Solis's established profile, fundraising edge, and the district's voter registration and historical performance have produced trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include unusually low Democratic turnout or major national political shifts before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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