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icon for 今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?

今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?

icon for 今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?

今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?

増加

17% 確率
Polymarket
新規

増加

17% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s population has declined for multiple consecutive quarters through mid-2026, driven by the federal government’s 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which caps new temporary resident arrivals at 385,000 while stabilizing permanent resident admissions near 380,000. This policy aims to reduce the non-permanent resident share below 5% of the total population by the end of 2027, producing net outflows that offset natural increase and permanent inflows. Statistics Canada data through April 2026 confirm quarterly contractions of 0.1–0.2%, with temporary resident numbers falling sharply after peaking in 2024. Parliamentary Budget Office projections indicate flat or slightly negative growth for the full year, consistent with ongoing caps on study and work permits and tighter financial requirements implemented in 2026. Trader pricing aligns with these confirmed trends and the absence of offsetting policy reversals.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,198
終了日
2027/04/30
マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s population has declined for multiple consecutive quarters through mid-2026, driven by the federal government’s 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan, which caps new temporary resident arrivals at 385,000 while stabilizing permanent resident admissions near 380,000. This policy aims to reduce the non-permanent resident share below 5% of the total population by the end of 2027, producing net outflows that offset natural increase and permanent inflows. Statistics Canada data through April 2026 confirm quarterly contractions of 0.1–0.2%, with temporary resident numbers falling sharply after peaking in 2024. Parliamentary Budget Office projections indicate flat or slightly negative growth for the full year, consistent with ongoing caps on study and work permits and tighter financial requirements implemented in 2026. Trader pricing aligns with these confirmed trends and the absence of offsetting policy reversals.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.

If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025. If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start). Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,198
終了日
2027/04/30
マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?」はPolymarket上の日次予測市場で、トレーダーはタイトルに指定された日次ウィンドウ内で今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?の価格が始値より高く(「Up」)終わるか低く(「Down」)終わるかのシェアを売買します。現在の市場確率は「減少」に対して88%です。価格88%は、市場がその結果に88%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。価格はトレーダーが今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?のライブ価格変動に反応するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?」はPolymarket上のアクティブな短期市場です。日次ウィンドウの進行とともに取引量は急速に蓄積される可能性があります。このウィンドウが閉じる前に早めに参加してオッズの設定を手伝いましょう。

「今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?」で取引するには、April 29の正午ETにおける今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?の価格がJanuary 27の正午ETより高くなる(「Up」)か低くなる(「Down」)かを判断してください。価格が上がると思えば「Up」を、下がると思えば「Down」を購入します。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。結果が正しければ、各シェアは$1.00を支払います。正しくなければ、シェアは$0の価値になります。

「今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?」の現在の確率は「減少」に対して88%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこの日次ウィンドウ内で今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?の価格が減少で終わる確率を88%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーが今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?のライブ価格データに反応するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。丸一日にわたって、その日の価格アクションが展開するにつれて変化するセンチメントをオッズが反映します。 頻繁に確認するか、ウィンドウが閉じる前に今すぐ取引してください。

「今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?」市場は、April 29の正午ETとJanuary 27の正午ETにおける今年のカナダの人口は増えていますか、それとも減っていますか?の価格の比較に基づいて決済されます。Binance CANADAS-POPULATION/USDTの1分キャンドル終値を使用します。April 29の正午価格が高ければ結果は「Up」、低ければ「Down」、同じであれば市場は50-50で決済されます。「ルール」セクションで完全な基準を確認できます。