Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida's 26th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, backed by his long tenure in Congress, strong prior performance, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million compared to Democratic challenger Nicole Locklin's roughly $350,000. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by recent Florida redistricting, contributes to its Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Locklin, a first-time candidate and attorney, advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or health events could still influence the outcome before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$64,900 Vol.
$64,900 Vol.
2026/11/02
マリオ・ディアス＝バラート（共和党）
91%
ニコール・ロックリン（民主党）
8%
$64,900 Vol.
$64,900 Vol.
2026/11/02
マリオ・ディアス＝バラート（共和党）
$30,122 Vol.
91%
ニコール・ロックリン（民主党）
$34,778 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida's 26th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, backed by his long tenure in Congress, strong prior performance, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million compared to Democratic challenger Nicole Locklin's roughly $350,000. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by recent Florida redistricting, contributes to its Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Locklin, a first-time candidate and attorney, advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or health events could still influence the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$64,900終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida's 26th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, backed by his long tenure in Congress, strong prior performance, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million compared to Democratic challenger Nicole Locklin's roughly $350,000. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by recent Florida redistricting, contributes to its Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Locklin, a first-time candidate and attorney, advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or health events could still influence the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$64,900終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart holds a commanding position in Florida's 26th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, backed by his long tenure in Congress, strong prior performance, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million compared to Democratic challenger Nicole Locklin's roughly $350,000. The district's Republican lean, reinforced by recent Florida redistricting, contributes to its Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters. Locklin, a first-time candidate and attorney, advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, significant shifts in national political conditions, or health events could still influence the outcome before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問