Mike Bost's commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district reflects the seat's strong Republican lean, with a partisan voting index around R+22 and Donald Trump carrying the area by roughly 43 points in 2024. The five-term incumbent advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and has consistently won general elections with margins exceeding 70 percent, supported by substantial campaign resources exceeding $1 million in recent filings. Challenger Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran and research microbiologist, secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but trails sharply in fundraising and lacks notable endorsements or polling momentum. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November 3, though such factors have not materialized in this cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,106 Vol.
$25,106 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・ボスト（共和党）
97%
ジュリー・フォルティエ（民主党）
3%
$25,106 Vol.
$25,106 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・ボスト（共和党）
$13,994 Vol.
97%
ジュリー・フォルティエ（民主党）
$11,112 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Bost's commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district reflects the seat's strong Republican lean, with a partisan voting index around R+22 and Donald Trump carrying the area by roughly 43 points in 2024. The five-term incumbent advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and has consistently won general elections with margins exceeding 70 percent, supported by substantial campaign resources exceeding $1 million in recent filings. Challenger Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran and research microbiologist, secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but trails sharply in fundraising and lacks notable endorsements or polling momentum. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November 3, though such factors have not materialized in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$25,106終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Bost's commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district reflects the seat's strong Republican lean, with a partisan voting index around R+22 and Donald Trump carrying the area by roughly 43 points in 2024. The five-term incumbent advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and has consistently won general elections with margins exceeding 70 percent, supported by substantial campaign resources exceeding $1 million in recent filings. Challenger Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran and research microbiologist, secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but trails sharply in fundraising and lacks notable endorsements or polling momentum. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November 3, though such factors have not materialized in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,106終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Bost's commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district reflects the seat's strong Republican lean, with a partisan voting index around R+22 and Donald Trump carrying the area by roughly 43 points in 2024. The five-term incumbent advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary and has consistently won general elections with margins exceeding 70 percent, supported by substantial campaign resources exceeding $1 million in recent filings. Challenger Julie Fortier, an Air Force veteran and research microbiologist, secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but trails sharply in fundraising and lacks notable endorsements or polling momentum. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November 3, though such factors have not materialized in this cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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