Incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in the North Carolina 8th congressional district race, backed by the district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index, multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe Republican, and his uncontested primary path. The seat’s boundaries, shaped by 2025 redistricting, encompass rural and suburban counties that have favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, while Watson secured the Democratic nomination in a low-turnout March primary but trails substantially in fundraising and organizational resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major late-cycle developments that would typically shift a safe seat. A narrow path for Watson would require an unusually strong national Democratic environment, turnout surges in specific counties, or unforeseen events affecting Harris before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,067 Vol.
$24,067 Vol.
2026/11/02
マーク・ハリス（共和党）
92%
コルビー・ワトソン（民主党）
9%
$24,067 Vol.
$24,067 Vol.
2026/11/02
マーク・ハリス（共和党）
$9,559 Vol.
92%
コルビー・ワトソン（民主党）
$14,508 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in the North Carolina 8th congressional district race, backed by the district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index, multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe Republican, and his uncontested primary path. The seat’s boundaries, shaped by 2025 redistricting, encompass rural and suburban counties that have favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, while Watson secured the Democratic nomination in a low-turnout March primary but trails substantially in fundraising and organizational resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major late-cycle developments that would typically shift a safe seat. A narrow path for Watson would require an unusually strong national Democratic environment, turnout surges in specific counties, or unforeseen events affecting Harris before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$24,067終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in the North Carolina 8th congressional district race, backed by the district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index, multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe Republican, and his uncontested primary path. The seat’s boundaries, shaped by 2025 redistricting, encompass rural and suburban counties that have favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, while Watson secured the Democratic nomination in a low-turnout March primary but trails substantially in fundraising and organizational resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major late-cycle developments that would typically shift a safe seat. A narrow path for Watson would require an unusually strong national Democratic environment, turnout surges in specific counties, or unforeseen events affecting Harris before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,067終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in the North Carolina 8th congressional district race, backed by the district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index, multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe Republican, and his uncontested primary path. The seat’s boundaries, shaped by 2025 redistricting, encompass rural and suburban counties that have favored Republican candidates in recent cycles, while Watson secured the Democratic nomination in a low-turnout March primary but trails substantially in fundraising and organizational resources. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major late-cycle developments that would typically shift a safe seat. A narrow path for Watson would require an unusually strong national Democratic environment, turnout surges in specific counties, or unforeseen events affecting Harris before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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