Pat Harrigan holds a commanding lead in the NC-10 House race due to the district’s R+9 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” ratings from forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. As the incumbent who won the 2024 general election with 57.5 percent, Harrigan secured 87.7 percent in the March 2026 Republican primary, demonstrating strong party consolidation. Ashley Bell, the Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln, and Yadkin counties plus most of Forsyth, where Republican performance in recent presidential cycles has created a durable advantage. Trader consensus reflects limited polling movement and fundraising gaps that have not narrowed meaningfully since the primaries. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/02
パット・ハリガン（共和党）
95%
アシュリー・ベル（民主党）
3%
新規
新規
2026/11/02
パット・ハリガン（共和党）
$3,831 Vol.
95%
アシュリー・ベル（民主党）
$4,689 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Harrigan holds a commanding lead in the NC-10 House race due to the district’s R+9 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” ratings from forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. As the incumbent who won the 2024 general election with 57.5 percent, Harrigan secured 87.7 percent in the March 2026 Republican primary, demonstrating strong party consolidation. Ashley Bell, the Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln, and Yadkin counties plus most of Forsyth, where Republican performance in recent presidential cycles has created a durable advantage. Trader consensus reflects limited polling movement and fundraising gaps that have not narrowed meaningfully since the primaries. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$8,520終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Harrigan holds a commanding lead in the NC-10 House race due to the district’s R+9 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” ratings from forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. As the incumbent who won the 2024 general election with 57.5 percent, Harrigan secured 87.7 percent in the March 2026 Republican primary, demonstrating strong party consolidation. Ashley Bell, the Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln, and Yadkin counties plus most of Forsyth, where Republican performance in recent presidential cycles has created a durable advantage. Trader consensus reflects limited polling movement and fundraising gaps that have not narrowed meaningfully since the primaries. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,520終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Pat Harrigan holds a commanding lead in the NC-10 House race due to the district’s R+9 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” ratings from forecasters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. As the incumbent who won the 2024 general election with 57.5 percent, Harrigan secured 87.7 percent in the March 2026 Republican primary, demonstrating strong party consolidation. Ashley Bell, the Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Catawba, Iredell, Lincoln, and Yadkin counties plus most of Forsyth, where Republican performance in recent presidential cycles has created a durable advantage. Trader consensus reflects limited polling movement and fundraising gaps that have not narrowed meaningfully since the primaries. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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