Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and her 74 percent victory in 2024. As the incumbent since 2014 representing central Mecklenburg County, Adams cleared her March primary with nearly 79 percent and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jack Codiga. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices in the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan composition, and limited opposition resources. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national Republican wave or collapse in Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s consistent margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$64,306 Vol.
$64,306 Vol.
2026/11/02
アルマ・アダムズ（民主党）
97%
ジャック・コディガ（共和党）
3%
$64,306 Vol.
$64,306 Vol.
2026/11/02
アルマ・アダムズ（民主党）
$17,082 Vol.
97%
ジャック・コディガ（共和党）
$47,224 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and her 74 percent victory in 2024. As the incumbent since 2014 representing central Mecklenburg County, Adams cleared her March primary with nearly 79 percent and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jack Codiga. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices in the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan composition, and limited opposition resources. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national Republican wave or collapse in Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s consistent margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$64,306終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and her 74 percent victory in 2024. As the incumbent since 2014 representing central Mecklenburg County, Adams cleared her March primary with nearly 79 percent and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jack Codiga. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices in the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan composition, and limited opposition resources. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national Republican wave or collapse in Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s consistent margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$64,306終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and her 74 percent victory in 2024. As the incumbent since 2014 representing central Mecklenburg County, Adams cleared her March primary with nearly 79 percent and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jack Codiga. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices in the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan composition, and limited opposition resources. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national Republican wave or collapse in Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s consistent margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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