**Anthropic’s June 9, 2026 release of Claude Fable 5 (the public Mythos-class model) and the restricted Claude Mythos 5 reset the release clock for the next frontier model.** Traders see strong momentum toward an early September launch, with Polymarket contracts pricing roughly 67 percent implied probability on September 1 and clustering most remaining odds in the first half of the month. This reflects Anthropic’s typical post-summer cadence, credible internal timeline signals, and competitive pressure from other labs advancing large language model capabilities in coding, agentic reasoning, and long-context performance. Key swing factors include final safeguard tuning for cybersecurity risks, potential developer previews or API rollouts, and any regulatory updates affecting Project Glasswing access. High trading volume underscores skin-in-the-game consensus that the next Mythos-class model is imminent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$862,083 Vol.
2026/08/30
8月31日
6%
9月1日
58%
9月2日
67%
9月4日
77%
9月7日
79%
9月9日
88%
9月15日
88%
9月30日
92%
10月31日
96%
$862,083 Vol.
8月31日
$353,627 Vol.
6%
9月1日
$47,494 Vol.
58%
9月2日
$25,729 Vol.
67%
9月4日
$20,775 Vol.
77%
9月7日
$14,695 Vol.
79%
9月9日
$93,249 Vol.
88%
9月15日
$52,105 Vol.
88%
9月30日
$178,951 Vol.
92%
10月31日
$33,384 Vol.
96%
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Anthropic’s June 9, 2026 release of Claude Fable 5 (the public Mythos-class model) and the restricted Claude Mythos 5 reset the release clock for the next frontier model.** Traders see strong momentum toward an early September launch, with Polymarket contracts pricing roughly 67 percent implied probability on September 1 and clustering most remaining odds in the first half of the month. This reflects Anthropic’s typical post-summer cadence, credible internal timeline signals, and competitive pressure from other labs advancing large language model capabilities in coding, agentic reasoning, and long-context performance. Key swing factors include final safeguard tuning for cybersecurity risks, potential developer previews or API rollouts, and any regulatory updates affecting Project Glasswing access. High trading volume underscores skin-in-the-game consensus that the next Mythos-class model is imminent.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$862,083終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Anthropic’s June 9, 2026 release of Claude Fable 5 (the public Mythos-class model) and the restricted Claude Mythos 5 reset the release clock for the next frontier model.** Traders see strong momentum toward an early September launch, with Polymarket contracts pricing roughly 67 percent implied probability on September 1 and clustering most remaining odds in the first half of the month. This reflects Anthropic’s typical post-summer cadence, credible internal timeline signals, and competitive pressure from other labs advancing large language model capabilities in coding, agentic reasoning, and long-context performance. Key swing factors include final safeguard tuning for cybersecurity risks, potential developer previews or API rollouts, and any regulatory updates affecting Project Glasswing access. High trading volume underscores skin-in-the-game consensus that the next Mythos-class model is imminent.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$862,083終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**Anthropic’s June 9, 2026 release of Claude Fable 5 (the public Mythos-class model) and the restricted Claude Mythos 5 reset the release clock for the next frontier model.** Traders see strong momentum toward an early September launch, with Polymarket contracts pricing roughly 67 percent implied probability on September 1 and clustering most remaining odds in the first half of the month. This reflects Anthropic’s typical post-summer cadence, credible internal timeline signals, and competitive pressure from other labs advancing large language model capabilities in coding, agentic reasoning, and long-context performance. Key swing factors include final safeguard tuning for cybersecurity risks, potential developer previews or API rollouts, and any regulatory updates affecting Project Glasswing access. High trading volume underscores skin-in-the-game consensus that the next Mythos-class model is imminent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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