Oregon's 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan lean exceeding D+40 and consistent general election margins above 30 points for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from a lower-turnout contest. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Bonamici holds a substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $600,000 raised compared with minimal receipts for her opponent. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unusually large national swing, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,452 Vol.
$27,452 Vol.
2026/11/02
スザンヌ・ボナミチ（民主党）
96%
バーバラ・カール（共和党）
3%
$27,452 Vol.
$27,452 Vol.
2026/11/02
スザンヌ・ボナミチ（民主党）
$10,566 Vol.
96%
バーバラ・カール（共和党）
$16,887 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan lean exceeding D+40 and consistent general election margins above 30 points for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from a lower-turnout contest. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Bonamici holds a substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $600,000 raised compared with minimal receipts for her opponent. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unusually large national swing, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$27,452終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan lean exceeding D+40 and consistent general election margins above 30 points for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from a lower-turnout contest. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Bonamici holds a substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $600,000 raised compared with minimal receipts for her opponent. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unusually large national swing, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$27,452終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan lean exceeding D+40 and consistent general election margins above 30 points for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Barbara Kahl advanced from a lower-turnout contest. Forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Bonamici holds a substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $600,000 raised compared with minimal receipts for her opponent. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unusually large national swing, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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