The market's even split at 50% implied probability across numerous mid-tier and emerging AI labs for third place in Code Arena WebDev by late October reflects intense competition and limited differentiation in specialized coding benchmarks. Chinese labs such as Alibaba and Moonshot hold clearer leads at 32% and 25% respectively, driven by recent model iterations optimized for web development tasks and strong performance on code generation metrics, while established names like OpenAI and Anthropic sit far lower amid perceptions of slower progress in this niche. Key swing factors include upcoming benchmark updates, fine-tuning releases, and developer ecosystem adoption that could shift relative rankings before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Alibaba 32%
Moonshot 25%
OpenAI 6.3%
Anthropic 5.8%
$36,694 Vol.
$36,694 Vol.
2026/10/31
Alibaba
32%
Moonshot
25%
OpenAI
6%
Anthropic
6%
4%
SpaceXAI
17%
Meta
3%
Z.ai
2%
Mistral
2%
Thinky
2%
DeepSeek
1%
ByteDance
1%
Tencent
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Alibaba 32%
Moonshot 25%
OpenAI 6.3%
Anthropic 5.8%
$36,694 Vol.
$36,694 Vol.
2026/10/31
Alibaba
$17,438 Vol.
32%
Moonshot
$11,111 Vol.
25%
OpenAI
$904 Vol.
6%
Anthropic
$658 Vol.
6%
$482 Vol.
4%
SpaceXAI
$659 Vol.
17%
Meta
$496 Vol.
3%
Z.ai
$656 Vol.
2%
Mistral
$581 Vol.
2%
Thinky
$586 Vol.
2%
DeepSeek
$580 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$613 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$539 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$573 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$302 Vol.
<1%
Poolside
$515 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The market's even split at 50% implied probability across numerous mid-tier and emerging AI labs for third place in Code Arena WebDev by late October reflects intense competition and limited differentiation in specialized coding benchmarks. Chinese labs such as Alibaba and Moonshot hold clearer leads at 32% and 25% respectively, driven by recent model iterations optimized for web development tasks and strong performance on code generation metrics, while established names like OpenAI and Anthropic sit far lower amid perceptions of slower progress in this niche. Key swing factors include upcoming benchmark updates, fine-tuning releases, and developer ecosystem adoption that could shift relative rankings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
音量
$36,694終了日
2026/11/01マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The market's even split at 50% implied probability across numerous mid-tier and emerging AI labs for third place in Code Arena WebDev by late October reflects intense competition and limited differentiation in specialized coding benchmarks. Chinese labs such as Alibaba and Moonshot hold clearer leads at 32% and 25% respectively, driven by recent model iterations optimized for web development tasks and strong performance on code generation metrics, while established names like OpenAI and Anthropic sit far lower amid perceptions of slower progress in this niche. Key swing factors include upcoming benchmark updates, fine-tuning releases, and developer ecosystem adoption that could shift relative rankings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$36,694終了日
2026/11/01マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The market's even split at 50% implied probability across numerous mid-tier and emerging AI labs for third place in Code Arena WebDev by late October reflects intense competition and limited differentiation in specialized coding benchmarks. Chinese labs such as Alibaba and Moonshot hold clearer leads at 32% and 25% respectively, driven by recent model iterations optimized for web development tasks and strong performance on code generation metrics, while established names like OpenAI and Anthropic sit far lower amid perceptions of slower progress in this niche. Key swing factors include upcoming benchmark updates, fine-tuning releases, and developer ecosystem adoption that could shift relative rankings before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問