Jessica Steinmann secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 8th Congressional District with 68 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, backed by endorsements from President Trump, Senator Cruz, and retiring incumbent Morgan Luttrell. The open seat sits in a solidly Republican district that favored the GOP by double digits in recent presidential and House contests, leading forecasters to rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Steinmann’s substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Laura Jones, who prevailed in her own primary, reinforces trader expectations of a Republican hold. With the November 3 general election approaching, late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,533 Vol.
$20,533 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェシカ・ハート・スタインマン（共和党）
95%
ローラ・ジョーンズ（民主党）
6%
$20,533 Vol.
$20,533 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェシカ・ハート・スタインマン（共和党）
$9,278 Vol.
95%
ローラ・ジョーンズ（民主党）
$11,255 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jessica Steinmann secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 8th Congressional District with 68 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, backed by endorsements from President Trump, Senator Cruz, and retiring incumbent Morgan Luttrell. The open seat sits in a solidly Republican district that favored the GOP by double digits in recent presidential and House contests, leading forecasters to rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Steinmann’s substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Laura Jones, who prevailed in her own primary, reinforces trader expectations of a Republican hold. With the November 3 general election approaching, late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$20,533終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jessica Steinmann secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 8th Congressional District with 68 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, backed by endorsements from President Trump, Senator Cruz, and retiring incumbent Morgan Luttrell. The open seat sits in a solidly Republican district that favored the GOP by double digits in recent presidential and House contests, leading forecasters to rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Steinmann’s substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Laura Jones, who prevailed in her own primary, reinforces trader expectations of a Republican hold. With the November 3 general election approaching, late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,533終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Jessica Steinmann secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 8th Congressional District with 68 percent of the primary vote in March 2026, backed by endorsements from President Trump, Senator Cruz, and retiring incumbent Morgan Luttrell. The open seat sits in a solidly Republican district that favored the GOP by double digits in recent presidential and House contests, leading forecasters to rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican. Steinmann’s substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Laura Jones, who prevailed in her own primary, reinforces trader expectations of a Republican hold. With the November 3 general election approaching, late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary factors that could narrow the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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