The September 18, 2026, Vaimauga 3 by-election in Samoa follows repeated vacancies driven by party-switching rules and court findings of corrupt practices in prior contests. Trader pricing reflects a fragmented field featuring FAST candidates Nonu Laulu William Mauia and Puaalatamai Filemoni Filemoni alongside the HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo and several independents. Nominations closed on August 28 with limited withdrawals, leaving a crowded ballot that splits support across village networks and party loyalties. The seat's recent volatility, including the June 2026 voiding of the May result, has kept probabilities closely matched, as no single contender has consolidated broad backing ahead of pre-polling on September 16. A late endorsement, turnout surge in key villages, or surprise withdrawal could shift the outcome before writ return on September 21.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ノヌ・レマウガ・ラウル・ウィリアム・マウイア 46%
ヴァイオフアイウポル・クリス・ファアオフォ 19%
スイアロ・レミガオイタマリイ・スイアロ 15.6%
プアアラタマイ・トゥプオラ・マラエウル・フィレモニ 4.3%
ノヌ・レマウガ・ラウル・ウィリアム・マウイア
46%
ヴァイオフアイウポル・クリス・ファアオフォ
19%
スイアロ・レミガオイタマリイ・スイアロ
16%
プアアラタマイ・トゥプオラ・マラエウル・フィレモニ
4%
ノヌ・レマウガ・ラウル・ウィリアム・マウイア 46%
ヴァイオフアイウポル・クリス・ファアオフォ 19%
スイアロ・レミガオイタマリイ・スイアロ 15.6%
プアアラタマイ・トゥプオラ・マラエウル・フィレモニ 4.3%
ノヌ・レマウガ・ラウル・ウィリアム・マウイア
46%
ヴァイオフアイウポル・クリス・ファアオフォ
19%
スイアロ・レミガオイタマリイ・スイアロ
16%
プアアラタマイ・トゥプオラ・マラエウル・フィレモニ
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The September 18, 2026, Vaimauga 3 by-election in Samoa follows repeated vacancies driven by party-switching rules and court findings of corrupt practices in prior contests. Trader pricing reflects a fragmented field featuring FAST candidates Nonu Laulu William Mauia and Puaalatamai Filemoni Filemoni alongside the HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo and several independents. Nominations closed on August 28 with limited withdrawals, leaving a crowded ballot that splits support across village networks and party loyalties. The seat's recent volatility, including the June 2026 voiding of the May result, has kept probabilities closely matched, as no single contender has consolidated broad backing ahead of pre-polling on September 16. A late endorsement, turnout surge in key villages, or surprise withdrawal could shift the outcome before writ return on September 21.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問