Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has yet to yield a public S-1, shifting the base case for an IPO into 2027 amid valuation compression from the 2021 $15 billion peak. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5–10 billion as of late August 2026, reflecting softer multiples for consumer platforms versus AI and infrastructure listings. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and $600–900 million in annualized recurring revenue from Nitro subscriptions, the 8–11 billion closing-market-cap bracket leads at 24.5 percent implied probability, narrowly ahead of the 21.6 percent chance of no IPO by December 31, 2027. Regulatory scrutiny and selective equity-market conditions for non-AI names keep these leading outcomes closely matched while highlighting uncertainty around pricing and timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
8–11B 25%
11–14B 23.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 21.6%
20B+ 6.2%
$48,885 Wol.
$48,885 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
6%
5–8B
4%
8–11B
25%
11–14B
24%
14–17B
5%
17–20B
6%
20B+
6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
22%
8–11B 25%
11–14B 23.5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 21.6%
20B+ 6.2%
$48,885 Wol.
$48,885 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<5B
$13,600 Wol.
6%
5–8B
$3,970 Wol.
4%
8–11B
$12,158 Wol.
25%
11–14B
$5,278 Wol.
24%
14–17B
$1,923 Wol.
5%
17–20B
$4,298 Wol.
6%
20B+
$3,775 Wol.
6%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$3,882 Wol.
22%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has yet to yield a public S-1, shifting the base case for an IPO into 2027 amid valuation compression from the 2021 $15 billion peak. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5–10 billion as of late August 2026, reflecting softer multiples for consumer platforms versus AI and infrastructure listings. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and $600–900 million in annualized recurring revenue from Nitro subscriptions, the 8–11 billion closing-market-cap bracket leads at 24.5 percent implied probability, narrowly ahead of the 21.6 percent chance of no IPO by December 31, 2027. Regulatory scrutiny and selective equity-market conditions for non-AI names keep these leading outcomes closely matched while highlighting uncertainty around pricing and timing.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$48,885Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has yet to yield a public S-1, shifting the base case for an IPO into 2027 amid valuation compression from the 2021 $15 billion peak. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5–10 billion as of late August 2026, reflecting softer multiples for consumer platforms versus AI and infrastructure listings. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and $600–900 million in annualized recurring revenue from Nitro subscriptions, the 8–11 billion closing-market-cap bracket leads at 24.5 percent implied probability, narrowly ahead of the 21.6 percent chance of no IPO by December 31, 2027. Regulatory scrutiny and selective equity-market conditions for non-AI names keep these leading outcomes closely matched while highlighting uncertainty around pricing and timing.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$48,885Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Discord’s confidential January 2026 SEC filing with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan has yet to yield a public S-1, shifting the base case for an IPO into 2027 amid valuation compression from the 2021 $15 billion peak. Secondary-market indications from Forge Global have stabilized near $8.5–10 billion as of late August 2026, reflecting softer multiples for consumer platforms versus AI and infrastructure listings. With roughly 200 million monthly active users and $600–900 million in annualized recurring revenue from Nitro subscriptions, the 8–11 billion closing-market-cap bracket leads at 24.5 percent implied probability, narrowly ahead of the 21.6 percent chance of no IPO by December 31, 2027. Regulatory scrutiny and selective equity-market conditions for non-AI names keep these leading outcomes closely matched while highlighting uncertainty around pricing and timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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