Recent polling from late August and early September shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading the Espírito Santo Senate race for one of the two seats, while a technical tie persists among six or more candidates for second place. Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante) sit within the margin of error in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios. High shares of undecided voters, blank or null ballots, and the requirement that each elector select two names sustain this fragmentation. With the October 4 election approaching and no major coalition shifts or new surveys reported in recent weeks, trader probabilities for second place remain closely bunched, reflecting the absence of decisive momentum for any single contender.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSergio Meneguelli 32%
Fabiano Contarato 26.1%
Maguinha Malta 19.5%
Rose de Freitas 18.3%
$40,876 Wol.
$40,876 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
32%
Fabiano Contarato
35%
Maguinha Malta
29%
Rose de Freitas
18%
Evair de Melo
5%
Renato Casagrande
4%
Callegari
<1%
Leonardo Monjardim
<1%
Marcos do Val
<1%
Professor Fabian
<1%
Rodney Miranda
<1%
Sergio Meneguelli 32%
Fabiano Contarato 26.1%
Maguinha Malta 19.5%
Rose de Freitas 18.3%
$40,876 Wol.
$40,876 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Sergio Meneguelli
$22,004 Wol.
32%
Fabiano Contarato
$7,105 Wol.
35%
Maguinha Malta
$1,647 Wol.
29%
Rose de Freitas
$4,651 Wol.
18%
Evair de Melo
$1,316 Wol.
5%
Renato Casagrande
$1,164 Wol.
4%
Callegari
$813 Wol.
<1%
Leonardo Monjardim
$686 Wol.
<1%
Marcos do Val
$652 Wol.
<1%
Professor Fabian
$422 Wol.
<1%
Rodney Miranda
$414 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and early September shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading the Espírito Santo Senate race for one of the two seats, while a technical tie persists among six or more candidates for second place. Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante) sit within the margin of error in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios. High shares of undecided voters, blank or null ballots, and the requirement that each elector select two names sustain this fragmentation. With the October 4 election approaching and no major coalition shifts or new surveys reported in recent weeks, trader probabilities for second place remain closely bunched, reflecting the absence of decisive momentum for any single contender.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,876Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August and early September shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading the Espírito Santo Senate race for one of the two seats, while a technical tie persists among six or more candidates for second place. Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante) sit within the margin of error in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios. High shares of undecided voters, blank or null ballots, and the requirement that each elector select two names sustain this fragmentation. With the October 4 election approaching and no major coalition shifts or new surveys reported in recent weeks, trader probabilities for second place remain closely bunched, reflecting the absence of decisive momentum for any single contender.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$40,876Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August and early September shows Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading the Espírito Santo Senate race for one of the two seats, while a technical tie persists among six or more candidates for second place. Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), Fabiano Contarato (PT), Rose de Freitas (MDB), Maguinha Malta (PL), Evair de Melo (Republicanos), and Marcos do Val (Avante) sit within the margin of error in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios. High shares of undecided voters, blank or null ballots, and the requirement that each elector select two names sustain this fragmentation. With the October 4 election approaching and no major coalition shifts or new surveys reported in recent weeks, trader probabilities for second place remain closely bunched, reflecting the absence of decisive momentum for any single contender.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania