Persistent high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains continues to drive above-normal late-summer heat into North Texas, with National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance converging on afternoon highs of 96–100°F for Dallas on September 1 amid mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds. Recent days have featured readings near or above 100°F under similar conditions, keeping 98–99°F and 100–101°F ranges as the dominant trader consensus at 66% and 27.5% implied probability. While seasonal norms for early September sit near 93–94°F, the ongoing drought and suppressed cloud cover limit rapid cooling; any late adjustments to steering flow or moisture return could shift outcomes within the narrow forecast window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on September 1?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 1?
98-99°F 67%
100-101°F 27%
96-97°F 3.8%
94-95°F 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
67%
100-101°F
27%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 67%
100-101°F 27%
96-97°F 3.8%
94-95°F 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
87°F or below
$299 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$335 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$135 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$434 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$710 Wol.
2%
96-97°F
$839 Wol.
4%
98-99°F
$2,019 Wol.
67%
100-101°F
$2,070 Wol.
27%
102-103°F
$491 Wol.
2%
104-105°F
$417 Wol.
1%
106°F or higher
$429 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains continues to drive above-normal late-summer heat into North Texas, with National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance converging on afternoon highs of 96–100°F for Dallas on September 1 amid mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds. Recent days have featured readings near or above 100°F under similar conditions, keeping 98–99°F and 100–101°F ranges as the dominant trader consensus at 66% and 27.5% implied probability. While seasonal norms for early September sit near 93–94°F, the ongoing drought and suppressed cloud cover limit rapid cooling; any late adjustments to steering flow or moisture return could shift outcomes within the narrow forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,177Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains continues to drive above-normal late-summer heat into North Texas, with National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance converging on afternoon highs of 96–100°F for Dallas on September 1 amid mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds. Recent days have featured readings near or above 100°F under similar conditions, keeping 98–99°F and 100–101°F ranges as the dominant trader consensus at 66% and 27.5% implied probability. While seasonal norms for early September sit near 93–94°F, the ongoing drought and suppressed cloud cover limit rapid cooling; any late adjustments to steering flow or moisture return could shift outcomes within the narrow forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,177Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains continues to drive above-normal late-summer heat into North Texas, with National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance converging on afternoon highs of 96–100°F for Dallas on September 1 amid mostly sunny skies and light southeast winds. Recent days have featured readings near or above 100°F under similar conditions, keeping 98–99°F and 100–101°F ranges as the dominant trader consensus at 66% and 27.5% implied probability. While seasonal norms for early September sit near 93–94°F, the ongoing drought and suppressed cloud cover limit rapid cooling; any late adjustments to steering flow or moisture return could shift outcomes within the narrow forecast window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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