Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a frontal passage bringing increased cloud cover, north-to-northeast winds, and a 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms to Houston on September 1, which is suppressing daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s. This pattern contrasts with the preceding hot, mostly sunny conditions and aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around these values due to uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, while climatological averages for the date hover near 91–92°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will further refine the expected peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on September 1?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 1?
88-89°F 32%
86-87°F 32%
90-91°F 14%
84-85°F 13%
NOWE
$10,682 Wol.
NOWE
$10,682 Wol.
Sep 1, 2026
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 32%
86-87°F 32%
90-91°F 14%
84-85°F 13%
NOWE
$10,682 Wol.
NOWE
$10,682 Wol.
Sep 1, 2026
81°F or below
$360 Wol.
1%
82-83°F
$142 Wol.
3%
84-85°F
$924 Wol.
13%
86-87°F
$1,822 Wol.
32%
88-89°F
$3,390 Wol.
32%
90-91°F
$1,221 Wol.
14%
92-93°F
$1,528 Wol.
5%
94-95°F
$399 Wol.
1%
96-97°F
$355 Wol.
1%
98-99°F
$301 Wol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$239 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a frontal passage bringing increased cloud cover, north-to-northeast winds, and a 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms to Houston on September 1, which is suppressing daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s. This pattern contrasts with the preceding hot, mostly sunny conditions and aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around these values due to uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, while climatological averages for the date hover near 91–92°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will further refine the expected peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,682Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a frontal passage bringing increased cloud cover, north-to-northeast winds, and a 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms to Houston on September 1, which is suppressing daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s. This pattern contrasts with the preceding hot, mostly sunny conditions and aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around these values due to uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, while climatological averages for the date hover near 91–92°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will further refine the expected peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,682Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a frontal passage bringing increased cloud cover, north-to-northeast winds, and a 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms to Houston on September 1, which is suppressing daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s. This pattern contrasts with the preceding hot, mostly sunny conditions and aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around these values due to uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, while climatological averages for the date hover near 91–92°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will further refine the expected peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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