OpenAI's accelerating revenue trajectory and CEO Sam Altman's $1 trillion-plus valuation floor are anchoring trader sentiment around a premium IPO outcome. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June 2026 after a March private round at $852 billion, with a subsequent August tender reaffirming that level. Its annualized revenue run rate has surpassed $40 billion amid ChatGPT user growth and a $1 billion ads business, supporting forecasts for $60-plus billion ARR by mid-2027. This growth dynamic, combined with AI sector demand and the preference for a 2027 debut over a discounted 2026 listing, underpins the 57% implied probability on a 1.5T+ closing market cap as aggregated trader consensus backed by capital at risk. Key catalysts ahead include further monetization milestones and any FOMC-driven risk appetite shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano1.5T+ 56.9%
1.25T–1.5T 14%
1T–1.25T 13.3%
750B–1T 9%
$185,409 Wol.
$185,409 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
<1%
500–750B
1%
750B–1T
9%
1T–1.25T
13%
1.25T–1.5T
14%
1.5T+
57%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
7%
1.5T+ 56.9%
1.25T–1.5T 14%
1T–1.25T 13.3%
750B–1T 9%
$185,409 Wol.
$185,409 Wol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500B
$16,441 Wol.
<1%
500–750B
$17,327 Wol.
1%
750B–1T
$32,287 Wol.
9%
1T–1.25T
$23,245 Wol.
13%
1.25T–1.5T
$13,813 Wol.
14%
1.5T+
$44,471 Wol.
57%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$37,824 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's accelerating revenue trajectory and CEO Sam Altman's $1 trillion-plus valuation floor are anchoring trader sentiment around a premium IPO outcome. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June 2026 after a March private round at $852 billion, with a subsequent August tender reaffirming that level. Its annualized revenue run rate has surpassed $40 billion amid ChatGPT user growth and a $1 billion ads business, supporting forecasts for $60-plus billion ARR by mid-2027. This growth dynamic, combined with AI sector demand and the preference for a 2027 debut over a discounted 2026 listing, underpins the 57% implied probability on a 1.5T+ closing market cap as aggregated trader consensus backed by capital at risk. Key catalysts ahead include further monetization milestones and any FOMC-driven risk appetite shifts.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$185,409Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI's accelerating revenue trajectory and CEO Sam Altman's $1 trillion-plus valuation floor are anchoring trader sentiment around a premium IPO outcome. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June 2026 after a March private round at $852 billion, with a subsequent August tender reaffirming that level. Its annualized revenue run rate has surpassed $40 billion amid ChatGPT user growth and a $1 billion ads business, supporting forecasts for $60-plus billion ARR by mid-2027. This growth dynamic, combined with AI sector demand and the preference for a 2027 debut over a discounted 2026 listing, underpins the 57% implied probability on a 1.5T+ closing market cap as aggregated trader consensus backed by capital at risk. Key catalysts ahead include further monetization milestones and any FOMC-driven risk appetite shifts.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$185,409Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2028Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's accelerating revenue trajectory and CEO Sam Altman's $1 trillion-plus valuation floor are anchoring trader sentiment around a premium IPO outcome. The company confidentially filed its S-1 in June 2026 after a March private round at $852 billion, with a subsequent August tender reaffirming that level. Its annualized revenue run rate has surpassed $40 billion amid ChatGPT user growth and a $1 billion ads business, supporting forecasts for $60-plus billion ARR by mid-2027. This growth dynamic, combined with AI sector demand and the preference for a 2027 debut over a discounted 2026 listing, underpins the 57% implied probability on a 1.5T+ closing market cap as aggregated trader consensus backed by capital at risk. Key catalysts ahead include further monetization milestones and any FOMC-driven risk appetite shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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