Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first preference votes in the Pará Senate race, consistently registering 38–45% support compared with 19–38% for Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and single-digit to mid-teens figures for Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Chicão (União Brasil), and Celso Sabino (PDT). This gap, evident across Veritá, Real Time, Doxa, and AtlasIntel surveys conducted through mid-September 2026, stems from Barbalho’s name recognition as term-limited governor, his broad coalition backing, and voter consolidation around his candidacy for one of the two seats. The October 4 election requires voters to select two senators, yet Barbalho’s dominance in standalone first-vote scenarios has driven the market’s elevated probability for him finishing first overall. Trailing candidates remain fragmented with limited momentum, while no major late developments have altered the established hierarchy.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHelder 80%
Delegado Éder Mauro 19.3%
Zequinha Marinho <1%
Edlaine Rodrigues <1%
$18,456 Wol.
$18,456 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
80%
Delegado Éder Mauro
14%
Zequinha Marinho
1%
Edlaine Rodrigues
<1%
Breno Guimarães
<1%
Celso Sabino
<1%
Chicão
<1%
Conti
<1%
Fernanda Lopes
<1%
Gizelle Freitas
<1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Helder 80%
Delegado Éder Mauro 19.3%
Zequinha Marinho <1%
Edlaine Rodrigues <1%
$18,456 Wol.
$18,456 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
$12,783 Wol.
80%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$645 Wol.
14%
Zequinha Marinho
$589 Wol.
1%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$609 Wol.
<1%
Breno Guimarães
$539 Wol.
<1%
Celso Sabino
$504 Wol.
<1%
Chicão
$493 Wol.
<1%
Conti
$556 Wol.
<1%
Fernanda Lopes
$731 Wol.
<1%
Gizelle Freitas
$567 Wol.
<1%
Willem da Silva
$441 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first preference votes in the Pará Senate race, consistently registering 38–45% support compared with 19–38% for Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and single-digit to mid-teens figures for Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Chicão (União Brasil), and Celso Sabino (PDT). This gap, evident across Veritá, Real Time, Doxa, and AtlasIntel surveys conducted through mid-September 2026, stems from Barbalho’s name recognition as term-limited governor, his broad coalition backing, and voter consolidation around his candidacy for one of the two seats. The October 4 election requires voters to select two senators, yet Barbalho’s dominance in standalone first-vote scenarios has driven the market’s elevated probability for him finishing first overall. Trailing candidates remain fragmented with limited momentum, while no major late developments have altered the established hierarchy.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,456Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first preference votes in the Pará Senate race, consistently registering 38–45% support compared with 19–38% for Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and single-digit to mid-teens figures for Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Chicão (União Brasil), and Celso Sabino (PDT). This gap, evident across Veritá, Real Time, Doxa, and AtlasIntel surveys conducted through mid-September 2026, stems from Barbalho’s name recognition as term-limited governor, his broad coalition backing, and voter consolidation around his candidacy for one of the two seats. The October 4 election requires voters to select two senators, yet Barbalho’s dominance in standalone first-vote scenarios has driven the market’s elevated probability for him finishing first overall. Trailing candidates remain fragmented with limited momentum, while no major late developments have altered the established hierarchy.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$18,456Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds a commanding lead in recent polling for first preference votes in the Pará Senate race, consistently registering 38–45% support compared with 19–38% for Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and single-digit to mid-teens figures for Zequinha Marinho (Podemos), Chicão (União Brasil), and Celso Sabino (PDT). This gap, evident across Veritá, Real Time, Doxa, and AtlasIntel surveys conducted through mid-September 2026, stems from Barbalho’s name recognition as term-limited governor, his broad coalition backing, and voter consolidation around his candidacy for one of the two seats. The October 4 election requires voters to select two senators, yet Barbalho’s dominance in standalone first-vote scenarios has driven the market’s elevated probability for him finishing first overall. Trailing candidates remain fragmented with limited momentum, while no major late developments have altered the established hierarchy.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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