Eduardo Braga maintains a clear lead in trader assessments for first place in the Amazonas Senate contest due to consistent polling strength as the MDB incumbent seeking re-election. Recent surveys, including Quaest from late August, show him at 25% overall and up to 32% for the initial seat, ahead of competitors like Capitão Alberto Neto and Plínio Valério, while earlier June data reinforced his interior and statewide edge. The October 4 first-round vote features eight confirmed candidates competing for two seats under Brazil’s plurality rules, with Braga’s established name recognition and regional support positioning him favorably. Alberto Neto trails at lower implied probabilities amid variable poll results, and minor candidates remain marginal. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing reflects these electoral dynamics ahead of the campaign’s free airtime period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEduardo Braga 71%
Capitão Alberto Neto 14.7%
Plinio Valério 8.2%
Wilson Lima 4.1%
$31,839 Wol.
$31,839 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braga
71%
Capitão Alberto Neto
15%
Plinio Valério
8%
Wilson Lima
4%
Dailson Corrêa
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
<1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
Eduardo Braga 71%
Capitão Alberto Neto 14.7%
Plinio Valério 8.2%
Wilson Lima 4.1%
$31,839 Wol.
$31,839 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braga
$15,323 Wol.
71%
Capitão Alberto Neto
$6,030 Wol.
15%
Plinio Valério
$3,342 Wol.
8%
Wilson Lima
$3,361 Wol.
4%
Dailson Corrêa
$590 Wol.
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$563 Wol.
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
$915 Wol.
<1%
Professora Evany
$828 Wol.
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$886 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga maintains a clear lead in trader assessments for first place in the Amazonas Senate contest due to consistent polling strength as the MDB incumbent seeking re-election. Recent surveys, including Quaest from late August, show him at 25% overall and up to 32% for the initial seat, ahead of competitors like Capitão Alberto Neto and Plínio Valério, while earlier June data reinforced his interior and statewide edge. The October 4 first-round vote features eight confirmed candidates competing for two seats under Brazil’s plurality rules, with Braga’s established name recognition and regional support positioning him favorably. Alberto Neto trails at lower implied probabilities amid variable poll results, and minor candidates remain marginal. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing reflects these electoral dynamics ahead of the campaign’s free airtime period.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
Wolumen
$31,839Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga maintains a clear lead in trader assessments for first place in the Amazonas Senate contest due to consistent polling strength as the MDB incumbent seeking re-election. Recent surveys, including Quaest from late August, show him at 25% overall and up to 32% for the initial seat, ahead of competitors like Capitão Alberto Neto and Plínio Valério, while earlier June data reinforced his interior and statewide edge. The October 4 first-round vote features eight confirmed candidates competing for two seats under Brazil’s plurality rules, with Braga’s established name recognition and regional support positioning him favorably. Alberto Neto trails at lower implied probabilities amid variable poll results, and minor candidates remain marginal. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing reflects these electoral dynamics ahead of the campaign’s free airtime period.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$31,839Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braga maintains a clear lead in trader assessments for first place in the Amazonas Senate contest due to consistent polling strength as the MDB incumbent seeking re-election. Recent surveys, including Quaest from late August, show him at 25% overall and up to 32% for the initial seat, ahead of competitors like Capitão Alberto Neto and Plínio Valério, while earlier June data reinforced his interior and statewide edge. The October 4 first-round vote features eight confirmed candidates competing for two seats under Brazil’s plurality rules, with Braga’s established name recognition and regional support positioning him favorably. Alberto Neto trails at lower implied probabilities amid variable poll results, and minor candidates remain marginal. The wisdom of crowds in current pricing reflects these electoral dynamics ahead of the campaign’s free airtime period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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