Military predictions & odds

Geopolitics·China

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

$3M Vol.

$67.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$3M Vol.

$67.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US military draft authorized in 2026?

$525K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$525K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·NATO

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$7M Vol.

$58.3K Liq.

219

Ends in 4 months

25%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$58.3K Liq.

219

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

$412K Vol.

$39.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

$412K Vol.

$39.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·China

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$201K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$201K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·China

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

$1M Vol.

$32.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$1M Vol.

$32.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·China

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

$298K Vol.

$137K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

18%

Hesai

$298K Vol.

$137K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Politics·Cuba

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

$242K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

15%

$242K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·China

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

$367K Vol.

$57.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

33%

$367K Vol.

$57.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Hezbollah

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

$27.6K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

91%

September 3

$27.6K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

World·Greenland

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

$80.2K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$80.2K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·Venezuela

US military action against Cuba by...?

$7M Vol.

$46.7K Liq.

111

Ends in 4 months

15%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$46.7K Liq.

111

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Hezbollah

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

$355K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

24%

October 31

$355K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Military Actions

US x Russia military clash by...?

$2M Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Eu

European military action against Iran by...?

$324K Vol.

$49.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

12%

December 31

$324K Vol.

$49.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran Ceasefire

Israel military action against Syria by...?

$40.3K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

23%

September 30

$40.3K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Geopolitics·Greece

Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?

$1M Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$1M Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Houthis

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

$183K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

September 30

$183K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

$2M Vol.

$72.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

62%

$2M Vol.

$72.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·NATO

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

$58.9K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$58.9K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Military.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Military that lets you track or trade on predictions like “China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “China x Japan military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US military action against Cuba by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US military action against Cuba by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Military predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Military shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “US military action against Cuba by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Military prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Military prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Military predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Military prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Military markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Military prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Military predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Military odds?

Can I track Military predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Military markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Military prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Military markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Military prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Military predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Military odds?

Can I track Military predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Military markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Military predictions & odds