Russia predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Earn 4%

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

$22M Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in 10 months

15%

June 30, 2027

$22M Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Elections·Global Elections

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

$311K Vol.

$146K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

62%

$311K Vol.

$146K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Elections·Global Elections

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

$361K Vol.

$460K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

37%

325–339

$361K Vol.

$460K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

$6M Vol.

$359K Liq.

135

Ends in 10 months

47%

June 30, 2027

$6M Vol.

$359K Liq.

135

Ends in 10 months

Geopolitics·Armenia

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

$438K Vol.

$59.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$438K Vol.

$59.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·NATO

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$7M Vol.

$78.8K Liq.

220

Ends in 4 months

26%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$78.8K Liq.

220

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

$3M Vol.

$862K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

99%

United Russia (ER)

$3M Vol.

$862K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Elections·Global Elections

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

$55.6K Vol.

$222K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

29%

53-56%

$55.6K Vol.

$222K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

$1M Vol.

$336K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

16%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$336K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

$471K Vol.

$71.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

51%

December 31

$471K Vol.

$71.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Peace

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

$610K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$610K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Economy·Macro

Bank of Russia decision in September?

$166K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

58%

No Change

$166K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Geopolitics·NATO

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

$5M Vol.

$67.9K Liq.

December 31, 2026

$5M Vol.

$67.9K Liq.

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

$99.3K Vol.

$42.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

88%

December 31

$99.3K Vol.

$42.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

$3M Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

$3M Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Ukraine Map

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

$2M Vol.

$71.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

40%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$71.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia nuclear test by...?

$6M Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31, 2026

$6M Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Ukraine Map

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?

$344K Vol.

$76.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

89%

December 31

$344K Vol.

$76.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

$131K Vol.

$42.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$131K Vol.

$42.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Global Elections

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

$453K Vol.

$552K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

89%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$453K Vol.

$552K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Russia.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Russia that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Putin out as President of Russia by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $59.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Putin out as President of Russia by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Putin out as President of Russia by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to June 30, 2027. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Russia predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Russia shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Putin out as President of Russia by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Russia prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Putin out as President of Russia by...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Russia Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Russia prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Russia predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Earn 4%

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

$22M Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in 10 months

15%

June 30, 2027

$22M Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Elections·Global Elections

Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?

$311K Vol.

$146K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

62%

$311K Vol.

$146K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Elections·Global Elections

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

$361K Vol.

$460K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

37%

325–339

$361K Vol.

$460K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

$6M Vol.

$359K Liq.

135

Ends in 10 months

47%

June 30, 2027

$6M Vol.

$359K Liq.

135

Ends in 10 months

Geopolitics·Armenia

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

$438K Vol.

$59.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$438K Vol.

$59.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·NATO

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$7M Vol.

$78.8K Liq.

220

Ends in 4 months

26%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$78.8K Liq.

220

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia Parliamentary Election Winner

$3M Vol.

$862K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

99%

United Russia (ER)

$3M Vol.

$862K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Elections·Global Elections

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

$55.6K Vol.

$222K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

29%

53-56%

$55.6K Vol.

$222K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

$1M Vol.

$336K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

16%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$336K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

$471K Vol.

$71.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

51%

December 31

$471K Vol.

$71.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Peace

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

$610K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$610K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Economy·Macro

Bank of Russia decision in September?

$166K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

58%

No Change

$166K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Geopolitics·NATO

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

$5M Vol.

$67.9K Liq.

December 31, 2026

$5M Vol.

$67.9K Liq.

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

$99.3K Vol.

$42.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

88%

December 31

$99.3K Vol.

$42.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

$3M Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

$3M Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Ukraine Map

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

$2M Vol.

$71.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

40%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$71.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia nuclear test by...?

$6M Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31, 2026

$6M Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Ukraine Map

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?

$344K Vol.

$76.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

89%

December 31

$344K Vol.

$76.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

$131K Vol.

$42.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$131K Vol.

$42.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Global Elections

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

$453K Vol.

$552K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

89%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$453K Vol.

$552K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Russia predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Russia prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Russia markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Russia prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Russia predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Russia odds?

Can I track Russia predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Russia markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Russia prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Russia markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Russia prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Russia predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Russia odds?

Can I track Russia predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Russia markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Russia predictions & odds