Israel predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Israel

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

$35M Vol.

$240K today

$2M Liq.

663

Ends in 4 months

31%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$35M Vol.

$240K today

$2M Liq.

663

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

$16.5K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

92%

$16.5K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

$28M Vol.

$359K today

$415K Liq.

246

Ends in 4 months

100%

August 31

$28M Vol.

$359K today

$415K Liq.

246

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel closes its airspace by...?

$28M Vol.

$72.4K today

$27.2K Liq.

993

Ends in 29 days

11%

September 30

$28M Vol.

$72.4K today

$27.2K Liq.

993

Ends in 29 days

Geopolitics·Israel

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

$750K Vol.

$303K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

12%

Venezuela

$750K Vol.

$303K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

$7M Vol.

$318K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

77%

$7M Vol.

$318K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Hezbollah

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

$139K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

September 30

$139K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Geopolitics·Hezbollah

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

$352K Vol.

$25.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

55%

October 31

$352K Vol.

$25.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

$362K Vol.

$43.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

14%

$362K Vol.

$43.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

$273K Vol.

$93.3K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

85%

September 30

$273K Vol.

$93.3K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Geopolitics·Israel

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?

$151K Vol.

$21.4K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

September 30

$151K Vol.

$21.4K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

$434K Vol.

$48.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$434K Vol.

$48.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

$5.9K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

88%

$5.9K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

$3M Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

357

Ends in 4 months

20%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

357

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

$8M Vol.

$146K Liq.

238

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$8M Vol.

$146K Liq.

238

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

$754K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

December 31

$754K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

$116K Vol.

$98.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

34%

25-29

$116K Vol.

$98.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Hezbollah

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

$457K Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

13%

September 30

$457K Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

$2M Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

16%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Houthis

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

$191K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

13%

September 30

$191K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Sort by

Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Israel.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Israel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $114.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 31% chance to Benjamin Netanyahu. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Israel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Israel shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Israel prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Israel prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Israel predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Israel prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Israel markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Israel prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Israel predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Israel odds?

Can I track Israel predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Israel markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Israel prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Israel markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Israel prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Israel predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Israel odds?

Can I track Israel predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Israel markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Israel predictions & odds