United States predictions & odds

Sports·Football

Pro Football: New Team announced outside the United States by 2026-27 season end?

$0 Vol.

$101 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

12%

$0 Vol.

$101 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Politics·Acquire

Will Alberta join the US?

$2M Vol.

$47.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$2M Vol.

$47.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$5M Vol.

$966K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

89%

No Meeting by September 30

$5M Vol.

$966K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Geopolitics·Putin

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

$802K Vol.

$482K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

54%

China

$802K Vol.

$482K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·Venezuela

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

$393K Vol.

$50.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$393K Vol.

$50.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Global Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$697M Vol.

$540K today

$64M Liq.

1,018

Ends in about 2 years

25%

JD Vance

$697M Vol.

$540K today

$64M Liq.

1,018

Ends in about 2 years

Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$1B Vol.

$238K today

$81M Liq.

809

Ends in about 2 years

20%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1B Vol.

$238K today

$81M Liq.

809

Ends in about 2 years

World·Venezuela

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

$155K Vol.

$21.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$155K Vol.

$21.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Global Elections

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$694M Vol.

$217K today

$56M Liq.

436

Ends in about 2 years

52%

J.D. Vance

$694M Vol.

$217K today

$56M Liq.

436

Ends in about 2 years

Elections·Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$11M Vol.

$81.2K today

$1M Liq.

267

Ends in 2 months

51%

Democrats Sweep

$11M Vol.

$81.2K today

$1M Liq.

267

Ends in 2 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

$166K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$166K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Global Elections

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$10M Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in 2 months

89%

Democratic Party

$10M Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·Global Elections

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$4M Vol.

$424K Liq.

116

Ends in 2 months

51%

Democratic Party

$4M Vol.

$424K Liq.

116

Ends in 2 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

$2M Vol.

$81.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

64%

$2M Vol.

$81.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·China

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

$275K Vol.

$197K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

18%

Alibaba

$275K Vol.

$197K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Sports·Chess

46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner

$10.6K Vol.

$76.6K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

28%

India

$10.6K Vol.

$76.6K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Geopolitics·Iran

US military draft authorized in 2026?

$525K Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$525K Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Congress

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$3M Vol.

$236K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

27%

≤47

$3M Vol.

$236K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Elections·President

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

$91.5K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

10%

James Talarico

$91.5K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Politics·Congress

Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

$19.9K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

$19.9K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like United States.

Polymarket currently hosts 795 active markets for United States that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Pro Football: New Team announced outside the United States by 2026-27 season end?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.7B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US military draft authorized in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 20% chance to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on United States predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for United States shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the United States prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Pro Football: New Team announced outside the United States by 2026-27 season end?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the United States prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

United States predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of United States prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do United States markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top United States prediction?

Why use Polymarket for United States predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s United States odds?

Can I track United States predictions without trading?

How do I get started with United States markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of United States prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do United States markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top United States prediction?

Why use Polymarket for United States predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s United States odds?

Can I track United States predictions without trading?

How do I get started with United States markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

United States predictions & odds