Redistricting after recent Supreme Court decisions shifted Alabama's 2nd District toward a Republican lean, with the new lines favoring GOP candidates over the prior Democratic-leaning map. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring state Rep. Rhett Marques, who secured the Republican nomination in the August special primary with strong endorsements from President Trump and Sen. Katie Britt. Incumbent Rep. Shomari Figures benefits from name recognition and Democratic internal polls showing a statistical tie, yet forecasts rate the seat as lean or likely Republican. Marques has launched attacks on Figures' voting record, while both candidates maintain competitive fundraising. The November general election remains the key resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign activity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAL-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
AL-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$44,614 Vol.
$44,614 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rhett Marques (R)
67%
Shomari Figures (D)
35%
$44,614 Vol.
$44,614 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rhett Marques (R)
$21,285 Vol.
67%
Shomari Figures (D)
$23,330 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting after recent Supreme Court decisions shifted Alabama's 2nd District toward a Republican lean, with the new lines favoring GOP candidates over the prior Democratic-leaning map. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring state Rep. Rhett Marques, who secured the Republican nomination in the August special primary with strong endorsements from President Trump and Sen. Katie Britt. Incumbent Rep. Shomari Figures benefits from name recognition and Democratic internal polls showing a statistical tie, yet forecasts rate the seat as lean or likely Republican. Marques has launched attacks on Figures' voting record, while both candidates maintain competitive fundraising. The November general election remains the key resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign activity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$44,614Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting after recent Supreme Court decisions shifted Alabama's 2nd District toward a Republican lean, with the new lines favoring GOP candidates over the prior Democratic-leaning map. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring state Rep. Rhett Marques, who secured the Republican nomination in the August special primary with strong endorsements from President Trump and Sen. Katie Britt. Incumbent Rep. Shomari Figures benefits from name recognition and Democratic internal polls showing a statistical tie, yet forecasts rate the seat as lean or likely Republican. Marques has launched attacks on Figures' voting record, while both candidates maintain competitive fundraising. The November general election remains the key resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign activity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$44,614Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting after recent Supreme Court decisions shifted Alabama's 2nd District toward a Republican lean, with the new lines favoring GOP candidates over the prior Democratic-leaning map. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring state Rep. Rhett Marques, who secured the Republican nomination in the August special primary with strong endorsements from President Trump and Sen. Katie Britt. Incumbent Rep. Shomari Figures benefits from name recognition and Democratic internal polls showing a statistical tie, yet forecasts rate the seat as lean or likely Republican. Marques has launched attacks on Figures' voting record, while both candidates maintain competitive fundraising. The November general election remains the key resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign activity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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