Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st Congressional District in the August 2026 special primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote, backed by endorsements including from President Trump. The district's longstanding Republican tilt, reflected in consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican by outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent. Redistricting shifts and the open seat following Barry Moore's Senate bid created the contest, yet the partisan baseline and Carl's prior service and fundraising advantage have limited Democratic prospects for Clyde Jones Jr. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAL-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
AL-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$47,789 Vol.
$47,789 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
2%
$47,789 Vol.
$47,789 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
$21,382 Vol.
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
$26,406 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st Congressional District in the August 2026 special primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote, backed by endorsements including from President Trump. The district's longstanding Republican tilt, reflected in consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican by outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent. Redistricting shifts and the open seat following Barry Moore's Senate bid created the contest, yet the partisan baseline and Carl's prior service and fundraising advantage have limited Democratic prospects for Clyde Jones Jr. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Volume
$47,789Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st Congressional District in the August 2026 special primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote, backed by endorsements including from President Trump. The district's longstanding Republican tilt, reflected in consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican by outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent. Redistricting shifts and the open seat following Barry Moore's Senate bid created the contest, yet the partisan baseline and Carl's prior service and fundraising advantage have limited Democratic prospects for Clyde Jones Jr. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,789Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st Congressional District in the August 2026 special primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote, backed by endorsements including from President Trump. The district's longstanding Republican tilt, reflected in consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican by outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, underpins trader consensus favoring Carl at 95 percent. Redistricting shifts and the open seat following Barry Moore's Senate bid created the contest, yet the partisan baseline and Carl's prior service and fundraising advantage have limited Democratic prospects for Clyde Jones Jr. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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